Global seismic activity recorded by the USGS shows five confirmed magnitude 7.0 or greater earthquakes through mid-May 2026, clustered along subduction zones of the Pacific Ring of Fire in Tonga, Vanuatu, Indonesia, and Japan. This pace aligns closely with the long-term annual average of roughly 16 such events worldwide, supporting trader consensus that the total will reach eight or more by the June 30 resolution date. A multi-week lull with no additional detections since late April introduces short-term uncertainty, yet the inherent clustering typical of large earthquakes and ongoing monitoring of major fault systems suggest renewed activity remains likely within the remaining six-week window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Cuántos terremotos de 7.0 o más para el 30 de junio?
¿Cuántos terremotos de 7.0 o más para el 30 de junio?
$1,854,431 Vol.
$1,854,431 Vol.
30 jun 2026
Título del grupo: 7
16%
8+
84%
$1,854,431 Vol.
$1,854,431 Vol.
30 jun 2026
Título del grupo: 7
$289,143 Vol.
16%
8+
$551,702 Vol.
84%
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between December 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.Global seismic activity recorded by the USGS shows five confirmed magnitude 7.0 or greater earthquakes through mid-May 2026, clustered along subduction zones of the Pacific Ring of Fire in Tonga, Vanuatu, Indonesia, and Japan. This pace aligns closely with the long-term annual average of roughly 16 such events worldwide, supporting trader consensus that the total will reach eight or more by the June 30 resolution date. A multi-week lull with no additional detections since late April introduces short-term uncertainty, yet the inherent clustering typical of large earthquakes and ongoing monitoring of major fault systems suggest renewed activity remains likely within the remaining six-week window.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between December 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
Mercado abierto: Dec 4, 2025, 3:15 PM ET
Volumen
$1,854,431Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 4, 2025, 3:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between December 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.Global seismic activity recorded by the USGS shows five confirmed magnitude 7.0 or greater earthquakes through mid-May 2026, clustered along subduction zones of the Pacific Ring of Fire in Tonga, Vanuatu, Indonesia, and Japan. This pace aligns closely with the long-term annual average of roughly 16 such events worldwide, supporting trader consensus that the total will reach eight or more by the June 30 resolution date. A multi-week lull with no additional detections since late April introduces short-term uncertainty, yet the inherent clustering typical of large earthquakes and ongoing monitoring of major fault systems suggest renewed activity remains likely within the remaining six-week window.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between December 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
Volumen
$1,854,431Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 4, 2025, 3:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Global seismic activity recorded by the USGS shows five confirmed magnitude 7.0 or greater earthquakes through mid-May 2026, clustered along subduction zones of the Pacific Ring of Fire in Tonga, Vanuatu, Indonesia, and Japan. This pace aligns closely with the long-term annual average of roughly 16 such events worldwide, supporting trader consensus that the total will reach eight or more by the June 30 resolution date. A multi-week lull with no additional detections since late April introduces short-term uncertainty, yet the inherent clustering typical of large earthquakes and ongoing monitoring of major fault systems suggest renewed activity remains likely within the remaining six-week window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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