The overwhelming trader consensus against Lai Ching-te's impeachment by June 30 reflects Taiwan's legislative procedures and current seat distribution in the Legislative Yuan, where opposition parties lack the supermajority threshold needed to advance an impeachment resolution through both the initial vote and subsequent referendum requirements. No major corruption allegations, policy crises, or institutional conflicts have emerged in recent weeks to shift momentum toward such an action, leaving the timeline too compressed for the necessary procedural steps. This setup aligns with historical patterns for presidential removals under the Republic of China constitution, which demand broad cross-party support rarely achieved absent extraordinary developments. While a sudden high-profile scandal or rapid coalition realignment could theoretically accelerate proceedings, the absence of any such catalyst within the remaining weeks makes meaningful movement improbable before the deadline.