Forecast models from official and private sources converge on a Beijing overnight low near 14–16°C for September 13, 2026, under clear skies and light northerly flow, supporting the narrow lead for the 15°C outcome while keeping 11–14°C bins competitive. Radiational cooling is enhanced by minimal cloud cover and low humidity, yet a relatively mild airmass and light winds limit further drops below typical mid-September climatology. Recent high-pressure dominance has suppressed moisture and maintained dry conditions, reducing the chance of colder advection. Traders weigh model consensus against possible late-evening adjustments from updated runs, with resolution hinging on official minimum readings between sunset and sunrise.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Pekín el 13 de septiembre?
11°C o menos 90%
13°C 90%
14°C 90%
12°C 18%
11°C o menos
90%
12°C
18%
13°C
90%
14°C
90%
15°C
-
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C o más
<1%
11°C o menos 90%
13°C 90%
14°C 90%
12°C 18%
11°C o menos
90%
12°C
18%
13°C
90%
14°C
90%
15°C
-
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from official and private sources converge on a Beijing overnight low near 14–16°C for September 13, 2026, under clear skies and light northerly flow, supporting the narrow lead for the 15°C outcome while keeping 11–14°C bins competitive. Radiational cooling is enhanced by minimal cloud cover and low humidity, yet a relatively mild airmass and light winds limit further drops below typical mid-September climatology. Recent high-pressure dominance has suppressed moisture and maintained dry conditions, reducing the chance of colder advection. Traders weigh model consensus against possible late-evening adjustments from updated runs, with resolution hinging on official minimum readings between sunset and sunrise.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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