Recent GFS and other model runs indicate clear skies and light southerly to southeasterly winds overnight into September 21, supporting minimum temperatures near 14–16 °C at Cape Town International Airport. This aligns with the current warm anomaly relative to the September climatological minimum of about 10 °C, driven by stable high pressure and limited nocturnal cooling under dry conditions. Trader consensus around 10 °C or below versus 14 °C reflects remaining spread in hourly model outputs and potential microclimate differences between official stations, with resolution hinging on the precise 24-hour low recorded. Updated forecasts through the evening of the 20th will refine the expected overnight range.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Ciudad del Cabo el 21 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Ciudad del Cabo el 21 de septiembre?
12°C 40%
13°C 40%
15°C 40%
14°C 29%
NUEVO
NUEVO
21 sep 2026
10°C o menos
33%
11°C
2%
12°C
40%
13°C
40%
14°C
29%
15°C
40%
16°C
22%
17°C
22%
18°C
21%
19°C
2%
20°C o más
<1%
12°C 40%
13°C 40%
15°C 40%
14°C 29%
NUEVO
NUEVO
21 sep 2026
10°C o menos
$180 Vol.
33%
11°C
$0 Vol.
2%
12°C
$0 Vol.
40%
13°C
$0 Vol.
40%
14°C
$3 Vol.
29%
15°C
$0 Vol.
40%
16°C
$0 Vol.
22%
17°C
$19 Vol.
22%
18°C
$43 Vol.
21%
19°C
$0 Vol.
2%
20°C o más
$120 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent GFS and other model runs indicate clear skies and light southerly to southeasterly winds overnight into September 21, supporting minimum temperatures near 14–16 °C at Cape Town International Airport. This aligns with the current warm anomaly relative to the September climatological minimum of about 10 °C, driven by stable high pressure and limited nocturnal cooling under dry conditions. Trader consensus around 10 °C or below versus 14 °C reflects remaining spread in hourly model outputs and potential microclimate differences between official stations, with resolution hinging on the precise 24-hour low recorded. Updated forecasts through the evening of the 20th will refine the expected overnight range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 19, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volumen
$365Fecha de finalización
21 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 19, 2026, 12:32 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent GFS and other model runs indicate clear skies and light southerly to southeasterly winds overnight into September 21, supporting minimum temperatures near 14–16 °C at Cape Town International Airport. This aligns with the current warm anomaly relative to the September climatological minimum of about 10 °C, driven by stable high pressure and limited nocturnal cooling under dry conditions. Trader consensus around 10 °C or below versus 14 °C reflects remaining spread in hourly model outputs and potential microclimate differences between official stations, with resolution hinging on the precise 24-hour low recorded. Updated forecasts through the evening of the 20th will refine the expected overnight range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$365Fecha de finalización
21 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 19, 2026, 12:32 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent GFS and other model runs indicate clear skies and light southerly to southeasterly winds overnight into September 21, supporting minimum temperatures near 14–16 °C at Cape Town International Airport. This aligns with the current warm anomaly relative to the September climatological minimum of about 10 °C, driven by stable high pressure and limited nocturnal cooling under dry conditions. Trader consensus around 10 °C or below versus 14 °C reflects remaining spread in hourly model outputs and potential microclimate differences between official stations, with resolution hinging on the precise 24-hour low recorded. Updated forecasts through the evening of the 20th will refine the expected overnight range.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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