Recent heavy rainfall and persistent cloud cover through August 29 have suppressed daytime highs across Chongqing while maintaining elevated humidity and limiting overnight radiative cooling, keeping recent minimums near 24–27°C. As the system weakens, model consensus points to clearer skies by August 31 that should permit greater nocturnal heat loss, supporting trader emphasis on the 22–23°C range. However, lingering moisture, variable low-level winds, and differences among numerical weather prediction runs introduce uncertainty around exact minimum thresholds, with lower odds reflecting the small but plausible risk of deeper cooling under optimal clear, calm conditions. Official China Meteorological Administration updates over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Chongqing el 31 de agosto?
23°C 39%
18°C or below 34%
22°C 27%
24°C 27%
18°C or below
34%
19°C
24%
20°C
25%
21°C
24%
22°C
27%
23°C
39%
24°C
27%
25°C
26%
26°C
5%
27°C
8%
28°C or higher
2%
23°C 39%
18°C or below 34%
22°C 27%
24°C 27%
18°C or below
34%
19°C
24%
20°C
25%
21°C
24%
22°C
27%
23°C
39%
24°C
27%
25°C
26%
26°C
5%
27°C
8%
28°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent heavy rainfall and persistent cloud cover through August 29 have suppressed daytime highs across Chongqing while maintaining elevated humidity and limiting overnight radiative cooling, keeping recent minimums near 24–27°C. As the system weakens, model consensus points to clearer skies by August 31 that should permit greater nocturnal heat loss, supporting trader emphasis on the 22–23°C range. However, lingering moisture, variable low-level winds, and differences among numerical weather prediction runs introduce uncertainty around exact minimum thresholds, with lower odds reflecting the small but plausible risk of deeper cooling under optimal clear, calm conditions. Official China Meteorological Administration updates over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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