**Forecast models and observational data point to a narrow overnight minimum range near 28–30°C for Jeddah on September 18, consistent with the closely matched market-implied odds across those bins.** Persistent high pressure and light westerly winds maintain clear skies, allowing modest radiative cooling after sunset while the adjacent Red Sea surface temperatures near 31°C limit further drops through sensible and latent heat fluxes. Typical September climatology shows nighttime lows averaging 27–29°C, with the current stable synoptic pattern producing little deviation from that baseline. Minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed accounts for the tight clustering between 27°C and 30°C outcomes, while probabilities below 26°C remain lower because historical extremes this late in the season are rare under similar conditions. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance and evening observations will refine the final recorded minimum before market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más baja en Jeddah el 18 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más baja en Jeddah el 18 de septiembre?
27°C 100%
28°C 96%
29°C 50%
25°C o menos 43.5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 sep 2026
25°C o menos
44%
26°C
12%
27°C
100%
28°C
96%
29°C
50%
30°C
51%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C o más
<1%
27°C 100%
28°C 96%
29°C 50%
25°C o menos 43.5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 sep 2026
25°C o menos
$86 Vol.
44%
26°C
$0 Vol.
12%
27°C
$25 Vol.
100%
28°C
$75 Vol.
96%
29°C
$0 Vol.
50%
30°C
$380 Vol.
51%
31°C
$1,191 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
35°C o más
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and observational data point to a narrow overnight minimum range near 28–30°C for Jeddah on September 18, consistent with the closely matched market-implied odds across those bins.** Persistent high pressure and light westerly winds maintain clear skies, allowing modest radiative cooling after sunset while the adjacent Red Sea surface temperatures near 31°C limit further drops through sensible and latent heat fluxes. Typical September climatology shows nighttime lows averaging 27–29°C, with the current stable synoptic pattern producing little deviation from that baseline. Minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed accounts for the tight clustering between 27°C and 30°C outcomes, while probabilities below 26°C remain lower because historical extremes this late in the season are rare under similar conditions. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance and evening observations will refine the final recorded minimum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$1,757Fecha de finalización
18 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and observational data point to a narrow overnight minimum range near 28–30°C for Jeddah on September 18, consistent with the closely matched market-implied odds across those bins.** Persistent high pressure and light westerly winds maintain clear skies, allowing modest radiative cooling after sunset while the adjacent Red Sea surface temperatures near 31°C limit further drops through sensible and latent heat fluxes. Typical September climatology shows nighttime lows averaging 27–29°C, with the current stable synoptic pattern producing little deviation from that baseline. Minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed accounts for the tight clustering between 27°C and 30°C outcomes, while probabilities below 26°C remain lower because historical extremes this late in the season are rare under similar conditions. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance and evening observations will refine the final recorded minimum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,757Fecha de finalización
18 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and observational data point to a narrow overnight minimum range near 28–30°C for Jeddah on September 18, consistent with the closely matched market-implied odds across those bins.** Persistent high pressure and light westerly winds maintain clear skies, allowing modest radiative cooling after sunset while the adjacent Red Sea surface temperatures near 31°C limit further drops through sensible and latent heat fluxes. Typical September climatology shows nighttime lows averaging 27–29°C, with the current stable synoptic pattern producing little deviation from that baseline. Minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed accounts for the tight clustering between 27°C and 30°C outcomes, while probabilities below 26°C remain lower because historical extremes this late in the season are rare under similar conditions. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance and evening observations will refine the final recorded minimum before market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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