Traders assign closely matched probabilities to a Qingdao minimum of 25°C or higher versus 15°C or below on September 14, underscoring forecast uncertainty for the coastal city’s overnight low. Primary drivers include the strength and timing of northerly cold-air advection behind a passing front, local sea-surface temperatures moderating the boundary layer, and divergence among global and regional models on cloud cover and wind speeds that affect radiational cooling. China Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble spreads highlight the narrow range of outcomes near typical mid-September climatology of 18–22°C, with resolution hinging on final observational data from official stations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Qingdao el 14 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Qingdao el 14 de septiembre?
15°C o menos 66%
25°C o más 66%
20°C 39%
21°C 39%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 sep 2026
15°C o menos
66%
16°C
22%
17°C
28%
18°C
26%
19°C
22%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C
5%
23°C
5%
24°C
5%
25°C o más
66%
15°C o menos 66%
25°C o más 66%
20°C 39%
21°C 39%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 sep 2026
15°C o menos
$0 Vol.
66%
16°C
$0 Vol.
22%
17°C
$0 Vol.
28%
18°C
$0 Vol.
26%
19°C
$0 Vol.
22%
20°C
$0 Vol.
39%
21°C
$0 Vol.
39%
22°C
$0 Vol.
5%
23°C
$0 Vol.
5%
24°C
$0 Vol.
5%
25°C o más
$0 Vol.
66%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign closely matched probabilities to a Qingdao minimum of 25°C or higher versus 15°C or below on September 14, underscoring forecast uncertainty for the coastal city’s overnight low. Primary drivers include the strength and timing of northerly cold-air advection behind a passing front, local sea-surface temperatures moderating the boundary layer, and divergence among global and regional models on cloud cover and wind speeds that affect radiational cooling. China Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble spreads highlight the narrow range of outcomes near typical mid-September climatology of 18–22°C, with resolution hinging on final observational data from official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
14 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign closely matched probabilities to a Qingdao minimum of 25°C or higher versus 15°C or below on September 14, underscoring forecast uncertainty for the coastal city’s overnight low. Primary drivers include the strength and timing of northerly cold-air advection behind a passing front, local sea-surface temperatures moderating the boundary layer, and divergence among global and regional models on cloud cover and wind speeds that affect radiational cooling. China Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble spreads highlight the narrow range of outcomes near typical mid-September climatology of 18–22°C, with resolution hinging on final observational data from official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
14 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign closely matched probabilities to a Qingdao minimum of 25°C or higher versus 15°C or below on September 14, underscoring forecast uncertainty for the coastal city’s overnight low. Primary drivers include the strength and timing of northerly cold-air advection behind a passing front, local sea-surface temperatures moderating the boundary layer, and divergence among global and regional models on cloud cover and wind speeds that affect radiational cooling. China Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble spreads highlight the narrow range of outcomes near typical mid-September climatology of 18–22°C, with resolution hinging on final observational data from official stations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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