Model consensus from multiple numerical weather prediction runs supports overnight radiative cooling under clear skies and light northeasterly flow, positioning the Zhengzhou minimum near 18–20°C as the most probable outcome. Stable high-pressure conditions and dew points in the mid-teens Celsius have limited further cooling, consistent with typical early-September climatology for the North China Plain. Recent forecasts show no significant shifts in the last 24 hours, with official guidance maintaining these thresholds ahead of the daily minimum observation. Traders appear to weigh the balance between 18°C and 20°C based on slight model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of the low.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Zhengzhou el 2 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Zhengzhou el 2 de septiembre?
20°C 99%
19°C 20%
15°C o menos 7%
17°C 2%
$837 Vol.
$837 Vol.
2 sep 2026
15°C o menos
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Sí
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C o más
No
20°C 99%
19°C 20%
15°C o menos 7%
17°C 2%
$837 Vol.
$837 Vol.
2 sep 2026
15°C o menos
$27 Vol.
No
16°C
$42 Vol.
No
17°C
$22 Vol.
No
18°C
$81 Vol.
No
19°C
$82 Vol.
No
20°C
$334 Vol.
Sí
21°C
$55 Vol.
No
22°C
$55 Vol.
No
23°C
$45 Vol.
No
24°C
$45 Vol.
No
25°C o más
$50 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Model consensus from multiple numerical weather prediction runs supports overnight radiative cooling under clear skies and light northeasterly flow, positioning the Zhengzhou minimum near 18–20°C as the most probable outcome. Stable high-pressure conditions and dew points in the mid-teens Celsius have limited further cooling, consistent with typical early-September climatology for the North China Plain. Recent forecasts show no significant shifts in the last 24 hours, with official guidance maintaining these thresholds ahead of the daily minimum observation. Traders appear to weigh the balance between 18°C and 20°C based on slight model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of the low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 1, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volumen
$837Fecha de finalización
2 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 1, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Model consensus from multiple numerical weather prediction runs supports overnight radiative cooling under clear skies and light northeasterly flow, positioning the Zhengzhou minimum near 18–20°C as the most probable outcome. Stable high-pressure conditions and dew points in the mid-teens Celsius have limited further cooling, consistent with typical early-September climatology for the North China Plain. Recent forecasts show no significant shifts in the last 24 hours, with official guidance maintaining these thresholds ahead of the daily minimum observation. Traders appear to weigh the balance between 18°C and 20°C based on slight model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of the low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$837Fecha de finalización
2 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 1, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Model consensus from multiple numerical weather prediction runs supports overnight radiative cooling under clear skies and light northeasterly flow, positioning the Zhengzhou minimum near 18–20°C as the most probable outcome. Stable high-pressure conditions and dew points in the mid-teens Celsius have limited further cooling, consistent with typical early-September climatology for the North China Plain. Recent forecasts show no significant shifts in the last 24 hours, with official guidance maintaining these thresholds ahead of the daily minimum observation. Traders appear to weigh the balance between 18°C and 20°C based on slight model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of the low.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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