Skip to main content
icon for Elección al Senado de Maranhão: 2do Lugar
Política·Elección Principal

Elección al Senado de Maranhão: 2do Lugar

icon for Elección al Senado de Maranhão: 2do Lugar
Política·Elección Principal

Elección al Senado de Maranhão: 2do Lugar

Roseana Sarney 45%

Dr. Hilton Gonçalo 44%

Enilton Rodrigues 44%

Simplício Araújo 44%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Roseana Sarney 45%

Dr. Hilton Gonçalo 44%

Enilton Rodrigues 44%

Simplício Araújo 44%

Polymarket
NUEVO
icon for Roseana Sarney

Roseana Sarney

$0 Vol.

45%

icon for Dr. Hilton Gonçalo

Dr. Hilton Gonçalo

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Enilton Rodrigues

Enilton Rodrigues

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Simplício Araújo

Simplício Araújo

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Raimundo Moreira

Raimundo Moreira

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Cidônio Gonçalves

Cidônio Gonçalves

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Weverton Rocha

Weverton Rocha

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Wilson Leite

Wilson Leite

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Lahesio Bonfim

Lahesio Bonfim

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Fufuca

Fufuca

$0 Vol.

42%

icon for Eliziane Gama

Eliziane Gama

$0 Vol.

41%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls for Maranhão's two Senate seats show a fragmented field with no dominant second-place contender, as multiple candidates—including incumbents Weverton Rocha (PDT) and Eliziane Gama (PT), along with Roseana Sarney (MDB), Duarte Jr. (Avante), Lahesio Bonfim (Novo), and André Fufuca (PP)—remain clustered in the low-to-mid teens. July and August surveys from Real Time Big Data and other firms highlight technical ties among seven or more names, reflecting limited name recognition shifts and balanced regional support ahead of the October vote. This dynamic sustains trader consensus around even odds for second place, with separation likely to emerge from final campaign momentum, coalition alignments, or turnout patterns in key municipalities rather than any single recent catalyst.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$0
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls for Maranhão's two Senate seats show a fragmented field with no dominant second-place contender, as multiple candidates—including incumbents Weverton Rocha (PDT) and Eliziane Gama (PT), along with Roseana Sarney (MDB), Duarte Jr. (Avante), Lahesio Bonfim (Novo), and André Fufuca (PP)—remain clustered in the low-to-mid teens. July and August surveys from Real Time Big Data and other firms highlight technical ties among seven or more names, reflecting limited name recognition shifts and balanced regional support ahead of the October vote. This dynamic sustains trader consensus around even odds for second place, with separation likely to emerge from final campaign momentum, coalition alignments, or turnout patterns in key municipalities rather than any single recent catalyst.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$0
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Relacionado

icon for Will Enilton Rodrigues win the most votes in the 2026 Maranhão Senate election?

Will Enilton Rodrigues win the most votes in the 2026 Maranhão Senate election?

45%
icon for ¿Obtendrá el Dr. Marcelo Queiroga la segunda mayor cantidad de votos en las elecciones al Senado de Paraíba de 2026?

¿Obtendrá el Dr. Marcelo Queiroga la segunda mayor cantidad de votos en las elecciones al Senado de Paraíba de 2026?

45%
Sí
icon for ¿Obtendrá el Coronel Darwin la segunda mayor cantidad de votos en las elecciones al Senado de Mato Grosso de 2026?

¿Obtendrá el Coronel Darwin la segunda mayor cantidad de votos en las elecciones al Senado de Mato Grosso de 2026?

45%
Sí

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Elección al Senado de Maranhão: 2do Lugar" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Roseana Sarney" con 45%, seguido de "Dr. Hilton Gonçalo" con 45%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 45¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 45% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Elección al Senado de Maranhão: 2do Lugar" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Aug 17, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Elección al Senado de Maranhão: 2do Lugar", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Elección al Senado de Maranhão: 2do Lugar" es "Roseana Sarney" con 45%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 45% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Dr. Hilton Gonçalo" con 45%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Elección al Senado de Maranhão: 2do Lugar" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.