The retirement of incumbent Democrat Gary Peters has created an open Michigan Senate seat in a battleground state, where trader consensus currently assigns Democrats a 74 percent implied probability of victory in the November 2026 general election. Recent state legislative results showing Democratic overperformance relative to 2024 presidential margins have reinforced this positioning, while the Democratic primary—set for August 4—remains competitive among leading contenders Abdul El-Sayed, Mallory McMorrow, and Haley Stevens. On the Republican side, former Representative Mike Rogers holds a strong position to secure the nomination after his narrow 2024 loss. Ongoing polling in both primaries and early general-election matchups continues to shape assessments of path-to-victory scenarios, with the race rated a toss-up by multiple forecasters.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al Senado de Michigan
Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Michigan
$113,180 Vol.
$113,180 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Demócrata
74%
Republicano
27%
$113,180 Vol.
$113,180 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Demócrata
$81,666 Vol.
74%
Republicano
$31,514 Vol.
27%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The retirement of incumbent Democrat Gary Peters has created an open Michigan Senate seat in a battleground state, where trader consensus currently assigns Democrats a 74 percent implied probability of victory in the November 2026 general election. Recent state legislative results showing Democratic overperformance relative to 2024 presidential margins have reinforced this positioning, while the Democratic primary—set for August 4—remains competitive among leading contenders Abdul El-Sayed, Mallory McMorrow, and Haley Stevens. On the Republican side, former Representative Mike Rogers holds a strong position to secure the nomination after his narrow 2024 loss. Ongoing polling in both primaries and early general-election matchups continues to shape assessments of path-to-victory scenarios, with the race rated a toss-up by multiple forecasters.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Volumen
$113,180Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The retirement of incumbent Democrat Gary Peters has created an open Michigan Senate seat in a battleground state, where trader consensus currently assigns Democrats a 74 percent implied probability of victory in the November 2026 general election. Recent state legislative results showing Democratic overperformance relative to 2024 presidential margins have reinforced this positioning, while the Democratic primary—set for August 4—remains competitive among leading contenders Abdul El-Sayed, Mallory McMorrow, and Haley Stevens. On the Republican side, former Representative Mike Rogers holds a strong position to secure the nomination after his narrow 2024 loss. Ongoing polling in both primaries and early general-election matchups continues to shape assessments of path-to-victory scenarios, with the race rated a toss-up by multiple forecasters.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$113,180Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The retirement of incumbent Democrat Gary Peters has created an open Michigan Senate seat in a battleground state, where trader consensus currently assigns Democrats a 74 percent implied probability of victory in the November 2026 general election. Recent state legislative results showing Democratic overperformance relative to 2024 presidential margins have reinforced this positioning, while the Democratic primary—set for August 4—remains competitive among leading contenders Abdul El-Sayed, Mallory McMorrow, and Haley Stevens. On the Republican side, former Representative Mike Rogers holds a strong position to secure the nomination after his narrow 2024 loss. Ongoing polling in both primaries and early general-election matchups continues to shape assessments of path-to-victory scenarios, with the race rated a toss-up by multiple forecasters.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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