Minnesota’s Democratic lean and Peggy Flanagan’s strong August 11 primary victory as the state’s lieutenant governor anchor trader expectations for her general-election win on November 3. With incumbent Tina Smith retiring, Flanagan consolidated support against Representative Angie Craig and now faces Republican nominee Michele Tafoya, a former broadcaster who prevailed in a crowded GOP primary. The state’s recent voting patterns, Flanagan’s statewide visibility, and limited Republican infrastructure in a DFL stronghold sustain the wide gap in implied probabilities. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or sharp national shifts in turnout could narrow the contest, though historical base rates in Minnesota suggest such reversals remain uncommon.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al Senado de Minnesota
Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Minnesota
$47,494 Vol.
$47,494 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Peggy Flanagan (D)
91%
Republicano
9%
$47,494 Vol.
$47,494 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Peggy Flanagan (D)
$31,632 Vol.
91%
Republicano
$15,862 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Minnesota’s Democratic lean and Peggy Flanagan’s strong August 11 primary victory as the state’s lieutenant governor anchor trader expectations for her general-election win on November 3. With incumbent Tina Smith retiring, Flanagan consolidated support against Representative Angie Craig and now faces Republican nominee Michele Tafoya, a former broadcaster who prevailed in a crowded GOP primary. The state’s recent voting patterns, Flanagan’s statewide visibility, and limited Republican infrastructure in a DFL stronghold sustain the wide gap in implied probabilities. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or sharp national shifts in turnout could narrow the contest, though historical base rates in Minnesota suggest such reversals remain uncommon.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Volumen
$47,494Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Minnesota’s Democratic lean and Peggy Flanagan’s strong August 11 primary victory as the state’s lieutenant governor anchor trader expectations for her general-election win on November 3. With incumbent Tina Smith retiring, Flanagan consolidated support against Representative Angie Craig and now faces Republican nominee Michele Tafoya, a former broadcaster who prevailed in a crowded GOP primary. The state’s recent voting patterns, Flanagan’s statewide visibility, and limited Republican infrastructure in a DFL stronghold sustain the wide gap in implied probabilities. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or sharp national shifts in turnout could narrow the contest, though historical base rates in Minnesota suggest such reversals remain uncommon.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$47,494Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota’s Democratic lean and Peggy Flanagan’s strong August 11 primary victory as the state’s lieutenant governor anchor trader expectations for her general-election win on November 3. With incumbent Tina Smith retiring, Flanagan consolidated support against Representative Angie Craig and now faces Republican nominee Michele Tafoya, a former broadcaster who prevailed in a crowded GOP primary. The state’s recent voting patterns, Flanagan’s statewide visibility, and limited Republican infrastructure in a DFL stronghold sustain the wide gap in implied probabilities. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or sharp national shifts in turnout could narrow the contest, though historical base rates in Minnesota suggest such reversals remain uncommon.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes