The 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election to fill the vacancy created by J.D. Vance's elevation to the vice presidency features a contest between appointed Republican incumbent Jon Husted and former Democratic Senator Sherrod Brown. Trader consensus currently assigns the Democrat a 59.5% implied probability of victory, reflecting Brown's strong name recognition from prior statewide wins, demonstrated ability to carry independents in this battleground state, and robust primary performance that signaled high Democratic turnout. Recent polling shows a narrow contest, with averages giving Husted a slim edge based on his early organizational efforts and Republican base consolidation. Key variables ahead of the November vote include upcoming debates, summer fundraising reports, and shifts in national political conditions that could influence turnout among suburban and rural voters.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al Senado de Ohio
Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Ohio
$78,175 Vol.
$78,175 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Demócrata
60%
Republicano
41%
$78,175 Vol.
$78,175 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Demócrata
$45,642 Vol.
60%
Republicano
$32,533 Vol.
41%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election to fill the vacancy created by J.D. Vance's elevation to the vice presidency features a contest between appointed Republican incumbent Jon Husted and former Democratic Senator Sherrod Brown. Trader consensus currently assigns the Democrat a 59.5% implied probability of victory, reflecting Brown's strong name recognition from prior statewide wins, demonstrated ability to carry independents in this battleground state, and robust primary performance that signaled high Democratic turnout. Recent polling shows a narrow contest, with averages giving Husted a slim edge based on his early organizational efforts and Republican base consolidation. Key variables ahead of the November vote include upcoming debates, summer fundraising reports, and shifts in national political conditions that could influence turnout among suburban and rural voters.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 4:38 PM ET
Volumen
$78,175Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election to fill the vacancy created by J.D. Vance's elevation to the vice presidency features a contest between appointed Republican incumbent Jon Husted and former Democratic Senator Sherrod Brown. Trader consensus currently assigns the Democrat a 59.5% implied probability of victory, reflecting Brown's strong name recognition from prior statewide wins, demonstrated ability to carry independents in this battleground state, and robust primary performance that signaled high Democratic turnout. Recent polling shows a narrow contest, with averages giving Husted a slim edge based on his early organizational efforts and Republican base consolidation. Key variables ahead of the November vote include upcoming debates, summer fundraising reports, and shifts in national political conditions that could influence turnout among suburban and rural voters.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$78,175Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election to fill the vacancy created by J.D. Vance's elevation to the vice presidency features a contest between appointed Republican incumbent Jon Husted and former Democratic Senator Sherrod Brown. Trader consensus currently assigns the Democrat a 59.5% implied probability of victory, reflecting Brown's strong name recognition from prior statewide wins, demonstrated ability to carry independents in this battleground state, and robust primary performance that signaled high Democratic turnout. Recent polling shows a narrow contest, with averages giving Husted a slim edge based on his early organizational efforts and Republican base consolidation. Key variables ahead of the November vote include upcoming debates, summer fundraising reports, and shifts in national political conditions that could influence turnout among suburban and rural voters.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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