Trader consensus prices the Democratic Party at 93.5% to win Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's extreme partisan lean—Cook PVI D+50—in heavily Democratic North and West Philadelphia neighborhoods, where recent presidential and House races saw lopsided Democratic margins exceeding 80 points. Incumbent Rep. Dwight Evans' retirement created an open seat, but the upcoming May 19 Democratic primary among contenders like Sharif Street and Chris Rabb will yield a nominee favored to prevail in the November general election against a Republican challenger in this deep-blue stronghold. Recent candidate forums and profiles in the past week have highlighted primary dynamics without altering the general election outlook. Scenarios that could challenge this include a post-primary Democratic scandal, abnormally low Democratic turnout, or a massive national Republican wave, though historical base rates for such safe seats show near-certain party retention.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoPA-03 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
PA-03 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$13,793 Vol.
$13,793 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
94%
Partido Republicano
6%
$13,793 Vol.
$13,793 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$7,891 Vol.
94%
Partido Republicano
$5,902 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices the Democratic Party at 93.5% to win Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's extreme partisan lean—Cook PVI D+50—in heavily Democratic North and West Philadelphia neighborhoods, where recent presidential and House races saw lopsided Democratic margins exceeding 80 points. Incumbent Rep. Dwight Evans' retirement created an open seat, but the upcoming May 19 Democratic primary among contenders like Sharif Street and Chris Rabb will yield a nominee favored to prevail in the November general election against a Republican challenger in this deep-blue stronghold. Recent candidate forums and profiles in the past week have highlighted primary dynamics without altering the general election outlook. Scenarios that could challenge this include a post-primary Democratic scandal, abnormally low Democratic turnout, or a massive national Republican wave, though historical base rates for such safe seats show near-certain party retention.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$13,793Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices the Democratic Party at 93.5% to win Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's extreme partisan lean—Cook PVI D+50—in heavily Democratic North and West Philadelphia neighborhoods, where recent presidential and House races saw lopsided Democratic margins exceeding 80 points. Incumbent Rep. Dwight Evans' retirement created an open seat, but the upcoming May 19 Democratic primary among contenders like Sharif Street and Chris Rabb will yield a nominee favored to prevail in the November general election against a Republican challenger in this deep-blue stronghold. Recent candidate forums and profiles in the past week have highlighted primary dynamics without altering the general election outlook. Scenarios that could challenge this include a post-primary Democratic scandal, abnormally low Democratic turnout, or a massive national Republican wave, though historical base rates for such safe seats show near-certain party retention.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$13,793Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices the Democratic Party at 93.5% to win Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's extreme partisan lean—Cook PVI D+50—in heavily Democratic North and West Philadelphia neighborhoods, where recent presidential and House races saw lopsided Democratic margins exceeding 80 points. Incumbent Rep. Dwight Evans' retirement created an open seat, but the upcoming May 19 Democratic primary among contenders like Sharif Street and Chris Rabb will yield a nominee favored to prevail in the November general election against a Republican challenger in this deep-blue stronghold. Recent candidate forums and profiles in the past week have highlighted primary dynamics without altering the general election outlook. Scenarios that could challenge this include a post-primary Democratic scandal, abnormally low Democratic turnout, or a massive national Republican wave, though historical base rates for such safe seats show near-certain party retention.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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