Recent candidate registrations by the August 15 deadline have formalized a crowded field for Roraima’s single Senate seat, with figures including incumbent Chico Rodrigues (PSB), Teresa Surita (MDB), Rogério Miranda, and others entering the race. This has sustained closely matched trader probabilities among top names, as older surveys showed no dominant leader and the small state electorate often produces fragmented results. Party conventions and alliances have further distributed support without clear separation. Fresh polling, debate performances, endorsements, or turnout shifts among key voting blocs before the October election could widen gaps in the implied probabilities reflected by market pricing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoMario Rocha 35%
Márcio Junqueira 23%
Hilton Xavier 23%
Rogério Miranda 22%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 oct 2026
Mario Rocha
35%
Márcio Junqueira
23%
Hilton Xavier
23%
Rogério Miranda
22%
Hiperion de Oliveira
19%
Helio Bolsonaro
20%
Regina Tio Ivo
20%
Teresa Surita
19%
Chico Rodrigues
20%
Nicoletti
23%
Helena da Asatur
23%
Pastor Isamar
29%
Bartô Macuxi
8%
Mario Rocha 35%
Márcio Junqueira 23%
Hilton Xavier 23%
Rogério Miranda 22%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 oct 2026
Mario Rocha
$57 Vol.
35%
Márcio Junqueira
$57 Vol.
23%
Hilton Xavier
$57 Vol.
23%
Rogério Miranda
$57 Vol.
22%
Hiperion de Oliveira
$73 Vol.
19%
Helio Bolsonaro
$57 Vol.
20%
Regina Tio Ivo
$57 Vol.
20%
Teresa Surita
$57 Vol.
19%
Chico Rodrigues
$73 Vol.
20%
Nicoletti
$78 Vol.
23%
Helena da Asatur
$66 Vol.
23%
Pastor Isamar
$78 Vol.
29%
Bartô Macuxi
$57 Vol.
8%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent candidate registrations by the August 15 deadline have formalized a crowded field for Roraima’s single Senate seat, with figures including incumbent Chico Rodrigues (PSB), Teresa Surita (MDB), Rogério Miranda, and others entering the race. This has sustained closely matched trader probabilities among top names, as older surveys showed no dominant leader and the small state electorate often produces fragmented results. Party conventions and alliances have further distributed support without clear separation. Fresh polling, debate performances, endorsements, or turnout shifts among key voting blocs before the October election could widen gaps in the implied probabilities reflected by market pricing.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado abierto: Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ET
Volumen
$821Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent candidate registrations by the August 15 deadline have formalized a crowded field for Roraima’s single Senate seat, with figures including incumbent Chico Rodrigues (PSB), Teresa Surita (MDB), Rogério Miranda, and others entering the race. This has sustained closely matched trader probabilities among top names, as older surveys showed no dominant leader and the small state electorate often produces fragmented results. Party conventions and alliances have further distributed support without clear separation. Fresh polling, debate performances, endorsements, or turnout shifts among key voting blocs before the October election could widen gaps in the implied probabilities reflected by market pricing.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$821Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent candidate registrations by the August 15 deadline have formalized a crowded field for Roraima’s single Senate seat, with figures including incumbent Chico Rodrigues (PSB), Teresa Surita (MDB), Rogério Miranda, and others entering the race. This has sustained closely matched trader probabilities among top names, as older surveys showed no dominant leader and the small state electorate often produces fragmented results. Party conventions and alliances have further distributed support without clear separation. Fresh polling, debate performances, endorsements, or turnout shifts among key voting blocs before the October election could widen gaps in the implied probabilities reflected by market pricing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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