In the approach to Russia's September 2026 State Duma elections, market pricing shows a tight contest for fourth place among several smaller parties, with multiple options clustered near even odds and only modest separation for the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia and New People. This positioning stems from longstanding patterns of fragmented opposition support, where vote shares for groups outside the leading three remain modest and sensitive to turnout variations. United Russia's expected dominance and the Communist Party's typical third-place standing leave the fourth slot open to shifts driven by campaign dynamics, regional voting differences, or any late adjustments in candidate lists and alliances. No major verified developments in the past month have produced clear separation, leaving traders focused on historical base rates for these parties and the impact of controlled media and registration rules on final rankings.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoPartido Liberal Democrático de Rusia (LDPR) 47%
Nuevas Personas (NL) 45%
Rusia Justa – Por la Verdad (SRZP) 25%
Plataforma Cívica (GP) 18%
NUEVO
NUEVO
20 sep 2026
Partido Liberal Democrático de Rusia (LDPR)
47%
Nuevas Personas (NL)
45%
Rusia Justa – Por la Verdad (SRZP)
25%
Plataforma Cívica (GP)
18%
Rodina
15%
Partido Comunista de la Federación Rusa (KPRF)
6%
Rusia Unida (ER)
3%
Partido Liberal Democrático de Rusia (LDPR) 47%
Nuevas Personas (NL) 45%
Rusia Justa – Por la Verdad (SRZP) 25%
Plataforma Cívica (GP) 18%
NUEVO
NUEVO
20 sep 2026
Partido Liberal Democrático de Rusia (LDPR)
$13 Vol.
47%
Nuevas Personas (NL)
$0 Vol.
45%
Rusia Justa – Por la Verdad (SRZP)
$20 Vol.
25%
Plataforma Cívica (GP)
$28 Vol.
18%
Rodina
$43 Vol.
15%
Partido Comunista de la Federación Rusa (KPRF)
$40 Vol.
6%
Rusia Unida (ER)
$136 Vol.
3%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.In the approach to Russia's September 2026 State Duma elections, market pricing shows a tight contest for fourth place among several smaller parties, with multiple options clustered near even odds and only modest separation for the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia and New People. This positioning stems from longstanding patterns of fragmented opposition support, where vote shares for groups outside the leading three remain modest and sensitive to turnout variations. United Russia's expected dominance and the Communist Party's typical third-place standing leave the fourth slot open to shifts driven by campaign dynamics, regional voting differences, or any late adjustments in candidate lists and alliances. No major verified developments in the past month have produced clear separation, leaving traders focused on historical base rates for these parties and the impact of controlled media and registration rules on final rankings.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Mercado abierto: Sep 1, 2026, 8:42 PM ET
Volumen
$279Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 1, 2026, 8:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.In the approach to Russia's September 2026 State Duma elections, market pricing shows a tight contest for fourth place among several smaller parties, with multiple options clustered near even odds and only modest separation for the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia and New People. This positioning stems from longstanding patterns of fragmented opposition support, where vote shares for groups outside the leading three remain modest and sensitive to turnout variations. United Russia's expected dominance and the Communist Party's typical third-place standing leave the fourth slot open to shifts driven by campaign dynamics, regional voting differences, or any late adjustments in candidate lists and alliances. No major verified developments in the past month have produced clear separation, leaving traders focused on historical base rates for these parties and the impact of controlled media and registration rules on final rankings.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Volumen
$279Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 1, 2026, 8:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...In the approach to Russia's September 2026 State Duma elections, market pricing shows a tight contest for fourth place among several smaller parties, with multiple options clustered near even odds and only modest separation for the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia and New People. This positioning stems from longstanding patterns of fragmented opposition support, where vote shares for groups outside the leading three remain modest and sensitive to turnout variations. United Russia's expected dominance and the Communist Party's typical third-place standing leave the fourth slot open to shifts driven by campaign dynamics, regional voting differences, or any late adjustments in candidate lists and alliances. No major verified developments in the past month have produced clear separation, leaving traders focused on historical base rates for these parties and the impact of controlled media and registration rules on final rankings.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRelacionado
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
48%
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
91%
¿Ganará Rusia Unida (ER) la mayoría de los escaños en las próximas elecciones parlamentarias rusas?
99%
Sí
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