Recent polls ahead of Sweden's September 13, 2026, parliamentary election show the Social Democrats leading with roughly 30–34 percent support, followed by the Sweden Democrats near 20–21 percent, placing the Moderate Party consistently third around 17 percent. This ordering has held steady across major surveys through early August, reflecting limited volatility in the final weeks of the campaign. The governing Moderates have seen no sustained rebound despite their position in the Tidö coalition, while the Sweden Democrats maintain second place without overtaking the Social Democrats. Smaller parties trail further behind, reinforcing trader consensus on the Moderate Party as the most likely third-place finisher based on current vote intention trends.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSweden Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Sweden Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Moderate Party (M) 81%
Sweden Democrats (SD) 18%
Centre Party (C) 1.6%
Green Party (MP) <1%
$44,436 Vol.
$44,436 Vol.
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
<1%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
18%
Moderate Party (M)
81%
Centre Party (C)
2%
Left Party (V)
<1%
Christian Democrats (KD)
<1%
Green Party (MP)
1%
Liberals (L)
<1%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
<1%
Moderate Party (M) 81%
Sweden Democrats (SD) 18%
Centre Party (C) 1.6%
Green Party (MP) <1%
$44,436 Vol.
$44,436 Vol.
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
<1%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
18%
Moderate Party (M)
81%
Centre Party (C)
2%
Left Party (V)
<1%
Christian Democrats (KD)
<1%
Green Party (MP)
1%
Liberals (L)
<1%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
<1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Mercado abierto: May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls ahead of Sweden's September 13, 2026, parliamentary election show the Social Democrats leading with roughly 30–34 percent support, followed by the Sweden Democrats near 20–21 percent, placing the Moderate Party consistently third around 17 percent. This ordering has held steady across major surveys through early August, reflecting limited volatility in the final weeks of the campaign. The governing Moderates have seen no sustained rebound despite their position in the Tidö coalition, while the Sweden Democrats maintain second place without overtaking the Social Democrats. Smaller parties trail further behind, reinforcing trader consensus on the Moderate Party as the most likely third-place finisher based on current vote intention trends.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRelacionado
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
¿Ganará el Partido Socialdemócrata Sueco (S) la mayor cantidad de escaños en las elecciones parlamentarias suecas de 2026?
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win 110-114 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes