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icon for Elecciones parlamentarias en Suecia: ¿V por encima/por debajo del 7%?

Elecciones parlamentarias en Suecia: ¿V por encima/por debajo del 7%?

icon for Elecciones parlamentarias en Suecia: ¿V por encima/por debajo del 7%?

Elecciones parlamentarias en Suecia: ¿V por encima/por debajo del 7%?

Over

>99% probabilidad
Polymarket

$15,792 Vol.

Over

>99% probabilidad
Polymarket

$15,792 Vol.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Over” if Left Party (V) wins at least 7% of all valid votes in the specified election This market will resolve to “Under” if Left Party (V) wins less than 7% of all valid votes in the specified election This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election. Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).**Vänsterpartiet (V) secured 8.3% of the vote in Sweden’s 13 September 2026 Riksdag election, comfortably above the 7% threshold.** Pre-election polling aggregates placed the party between roughly 7.5% and 8%, reflecting stable support within the left bloc amid shifts favoring the Social Democrats and Greens. Exit polls from Novus and SVT/Valu aligned closely with this range, and preliminary counts on election night plus the ongoing final tally have shown no movement that would threaten the result. The 1.5-point gain from 2022 further reinforced trader expectations. While final certified figures could see minor adjustments from late postal or overseas ballots, the existing margin makes a drop below 7% improbable.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Over” if Left Party (V) wins at least 7% of all valid votes in the specified election

This market will resolve to “Under” if Left Party (V) wins less than 7% of all valid votes in the specified election

This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.

Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Over” if Left Party (V) wins at least 7% of all valid votes in the specified election This market will resolve to “Under” if Left Party (V) wins less than 7% of all valid votes in the specified election This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election. Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volumen
$15,792
Fecha de finalización
13 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 13, 2026, 5:38 AM ET

Resultado propuesto: Over

Sin disputa

Resultado final: Over

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Over” if Left Party (V) wins at least 7% of all valid votes in the specified election This market will resolve to “Under” if Left Party (V) wins less than 7% of all valid votes in the specified election This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election. Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).**Vänsterpartiet (V) secured 8.3% of the vote in Sweden’s 13 September 2026 Riksdag election, comfortably above the 7% threshold.** Pre-election polling aggregates placed the party between roughly 7.5% and 8%, reflecting stable support within the left bloc amid shifts favoring the Social Democrats and Greens. Exit polls from Novus and SVT/Valu aligned closely with this range, and preliminary counts on election night plus the ongoing final tally have shown no movement that would threaten the result. The 1.5-point gain from 2022 further reinforced trader expectations. While final certified figures could see minor adjustments from late postal or overseas ballots, the existing margin makes a drop below 7% improbable.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Over” if Left Party (V) wins at least 7% of all valid votes in the specified election

This market will resolve to “Under” if Left Party (V) wins less than 7% of all valid votes in the specified election

This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.

Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Over” if Left Party (V) wins at least 7% of all valid votes in the specified election This market will resolve to “Under” if Left Party (V) wins less than 7% of all valid votes in the specified election This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election. Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volumen
$15,792
Fecha de finalización
13 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 13, 2026, 5:38 AM ET

Resultado propuesto: Over

Sin disputa

Resultado final: Over

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Elecciones parlamentarias en Suecia: ¿V por encima/por debajo del 7%?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Sweden Parliamentary Election: V Over/Under 7%?" con 100%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Elecciones parlamentarias en Suecia: ¿V por encima/por debajo del 7%?" ha generado $15.8K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Aug 13, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Elecciones parlamentarias en Suecia: ¿V por encima/por debajo del 7%?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Elecciones parlamentarias en Suecia: ¿V por encima/por debajo del 7%?" es "Sweden Parliamentary Election: V Over/Under 7%?" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Elecciones parlamentarias en Suecia: ¿V por encima/por debajo del 7%?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.