The Texas 13th Congressional District’s strong Republican lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index around R+24, underpins traders’ 91.5% consensus for the Republican nominee. Incumbent Ronny Jackson secured the March 2026 primary with nearly 90% of the vote in a low-turnout contest that featured no serious intra-party opposition. The rural Panhandle district’s oil-and-gas economy, conservative voter base, and limited Democratic infrastructure leave no viable path for the opposition nominee in the November general election. Forecasters across Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Only a major scandal, health event, or unprecedented national Democratic wave could realistically narrow the margin enough to alter the outcome before Election Day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de TX-13
$11,276 Vol.
$11,276 Vol.
Partido Republicano
92%
Partido Demócrata
7%
$11,276 Vol.
$11,276 Vol.
Partido Republicano
92%
Partido Demócrata
7%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Texas 13th Congressional District’s strong Republican lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index around R+24, underpins traders’ 91.5% consensus for the Republican nominee. Incumbent Ronny Jackson secured the March 2026 primary with nearly 90% of the vote in a low-turnout contest that featured no serious intra-party opposition. The rural Panhandle district’s oil-and-gas economy, conservative voter base, and limited Democratic infrastructure leave no viable path for the opposition nominee in the November general election. Forecasters across Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Only a major scandal, health event, or unprecedented national Democratic wave could realistically narrow the margin enough to alter the outcome before Election Day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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