The Trump administration’s maximum-pressure campaign, including a January 2026 fuel blockade via secondary tariffs on oil suppliers and repeated executive orders expanding sanctions on Cuban state entities in energy, mining, construction, and tourism, has intensified economic strain on Cuba and shaped trader views on prospects for any bilateral economic agreement. President Trump has repeatedly urged Cuban leaders to reach a deal, with limited initial contacts reported earlier in the year and some prisoner releases tied to early discussions. However, Cuban officials have stated that talks remain stalled with no substantive progress as of mid-2026, while new designations continue to target regime-linked actors. These dynamics, alongside Cuba’s ongoing fuel and power shortages, frame the near-term outlook for any easing of the longstanding embargo or normalized trade.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Acuerdo económico EEUU x Cuba por...?
¿Acuerdo económico EEUU x Cuba por...?
$433,990 Vol.
31 dic 2026
December 31
15%
$433,990 Vol.
December 31
$22,118 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade, tariffs, sanctions, or the US embargo on Cuba, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Cuba by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.The Trump administration’s maximum-pressure campaign, including a January 2026 fuel blockade via secondary tariffs on oil suppliers and repeated executive orders expanding sanctions on Cuban state entities in energy, mining, construction, and tourism, has intensified economic strain on Cuba and shaped trader views on prospects for any bilateral economic agreement. President Trump has repeatedly urged Cuban leaders to reach a deal, with limited initial contacts reported earlier in the year and some prisoner releases tied to early discussions. However, Cuban officials have stated that talks remain stalled with no substantive progress as of mid-2026, while new designations continue to target regime-linked actors. These dynamics, alongside Cuba’s ongoing fuel and power shortages, frame the near-term outlook for any easing of the longstanding embargo or normalized trade.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade, tariffs, sanctions, or the US embargo on Cuba, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Cuba by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Mercado abierto: Jun 11, 2026, 9:50 AM ET
Volumen
$433,990Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Jun 11, 2026, 9:50 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade, tariffs, sanctions, or the US embargo on Cuba, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Cuba by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.The Trump administration’s maximum-pressure campaign, including a January 2026 fuel blockade via secondary tariffs on oil suppliers and repeated executive orders expanding sanctions on Cuban state entities in energy, mining, construction, and tourism, has intensified economic strain on Cuba and shaped trader views on prospects for any bilateral economic agreement. President Trump has repeatedly urged Cuban leaders to reach a deal, with limited initial contacts reported earlier in the year and some prisoner releases tied to early discussions. However, Cuban officials have stated that talks remain stalled with no substantive progress as of mid-2026, while new designations continue to target regime-linked actors. These dynamics, alongside Cuba’s ongoing fuel and power shortages, frame the near-term outlook for any easing of the longstanding embargo or normalized trade.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade, tariffs, sanctions, or the US embargo on Cuba, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Cuba by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Volumen
$433,990Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Jun 11, 2026, 9:50 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Trump administration’s maximum-pressure campaign, including a January 2026 fuel blockade via secondary tariffs on oil suppliers and repeated executive orders expanding sanctions on Cuban state entities in energy, mining, construction, and tourism, has intensified economic strain on Cuba and shaped trader views on prospects for any bilateral economic agreement. President Trump has repeatedly urged Cuban leaders to reach a deal, with limited initial contacts reported earlier in the year and some prisoner releases tied to early discussions. However, Cuban officials have stated that talks remain stalled with no substantive progress as of mid-2026, while new designations continue to target regime-linked actors. These dynamics, alongside Cuba’s ongoing fuel and power shortages, frame the near-term outlook for any easing of the longstanding embargo or normalized trade.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes