Matt Little holds the clear lead in the MN-02 Democratic primary at 79.5% implied probability due to securing the DFL congressional district endorsement on the first ballot with 63% support at the May 2026 convention. This party backing, combined with his prior service as state senator and Lakeville mayor, has consolidated support ahead of the August 11 primary for the open seat vacated by Rep. Angie Craig. Matt Klein, a sitting state senator, trails at 13% amid competitive fundraising but limited organizational momentum, while state Rep. Kaela Berg remains at 4% with lower name recognition and resources. A May poll showed Little ahead at 41%, and earlier straw polls reinforced his edge; no major subsequent shifts have altered the trader consensus reflected in current pricing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoMatt Little 86%
Matt Klein 10%
Kaela Berg 4.8%
$34,038 Vol.
$34,038 Vol.
11 ago 2026
Matt Little
86%
Matt Klein
10%
Kaela Berg
5%
Matt Little 86%
Matt Klein 10%
Kaela Berg 4.8%
$34,038 Vol.
$34,038 Vol.
11 ago 2026
Matt Little
$21,948 Vol.
86%
Matt Klein
$9,150 Vol.
10%
Kaela Berg
$2,940 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Matt Little holds the clear lead in the MN-02 Democratic primary at 79.5% implied probability due to securing the DFL congressional district endorsement on the first ballot with 63% support at the May 2026 convention. This party backing, combined with his prior service as state senator and Lakeville mayor, has consolidated support ahead of the August 11 primary for the open seat vacated by Rep. Angie Craig. Matt Klein, a sitting state senator, trails at 13% amid competitive fundraising but limited organizational momentum, while state Rep. Kaela Berg remains at 4% with lower name recognition and resources. A May poll showed Little ahead at 41%, and earlier straw polls reinforced his edge; no major subsequent shifts have altered the trader consensus reflected in current pricing.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercado abierto: Dec 1, 2025, 4:02 PM ET
Volumen
$34,038Fecha de finalización
11 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 1, 2025, 4:02 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Matt Little holds the clear lead in the MN-02 Democratic primary at 79.5% implied probability due to securing the DFL congressional district endorsement on the first ballot with 63% support at the May 2026 convention. This party backing, combined with his prior service as state senator and Lakeville mayor, has consolidated support ahead of the August 11 primary for the open seat vacated by Rep. Angie Craig. Matt Klein, a sitting state senator, trails at 13% amid competitive fundraising but limited organizational momentum, while state Rep. Kaela Berg remains at 4% with lower name recognition and resources. A May poll showed Little ahead at 41%, and earlier straw polls reinforced his edge; no major subsequent shifts have altered the trader consensus reflected in current pricing.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$34,038Fecha de finalización
11 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 1, 2025, 4:02 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Matt Little holds the clear lead in the MN-02 Democratic primary at 79.5% implied probability due to securing the DFL congressional district endorsement on the first ballot with 63% support at the May 2026 convention. This party backing, combined with his prior service as state senator and Lakeville mayor, has consolidated support ahead of the August 11 primary for the open seat vacated by Rep. Angie Craig. Matt Klein, a sitting state senator, trails at 13% amid competitive fundraising but limited organizational momentum, while state Rep. Kaela Berg remains at 4% with lower name recognition and resources. A May poll showed Little ahead at 41%, and earlier straw polls reinforced his edge; no major subsequent shifts have altered the trader consensus reflected in current pricing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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