Iran’s Islamic Penal Code, constitutional framework, and oversight by the Guardian Council and Supreme Leader criminalize same-sex relations with penalties up to execution, rendering any recognition of same-sex marriage incompatible with current law and religious doctrine. The Majlis remains dominated by conservative factions, and no legislative proposals, judicial rulings, or reform initiatives have advanced in recent years amid leadership consolidation following the 2026 transition and ongoing regional tensions. Trader consensus at 98% “No” reflects these entrenched institutional barriers and the absence of political momentum for change. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes before the December 2026 resolution deadline include a major constitutional overhaul or unexpected policy reversal driven by internal upheaval, though such developments lack visible precursors.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
2% probabilidad
$79,273 Vol.
$79,273 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sí
2% probabilidad
$79,273 Vol.
$79,273 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Iran legally recognizes marriage between two people of the same sex anywhere within Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran’s Islamic Penal Code, constitutional framework, and oversight by the Guardian Council and Supreme Leader criminalize same-sex relations with penalties up to execution, rendering any recognition of same-sex marriage incompatible with current law and religious doctrine. The Majlis remains dominated by conservative factions, and no legislative proposals, judicial rulings, or reform initiatives have advanced in recent years amid leadership consolidation following the 2026 transition and ongoing regional tensions. Trader consensus at 98% “No” reflects these entrenched institutional barriers and the absence of political momentum for change. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes before the December 2026 resolution deadline include a major constitutional overhaul or unexpected policy reversal driven by internal upheaval, though such developments lack visible precursors.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Iran legally recognizes marriage between two people of the same sex anywhere within Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Mar 17, 2026, 8:48 PM ET
Volumen
$79,273Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Mar 17, 2026, 8:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Iran legally recognizes marriage between two people of the same sex anywhere within Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran’s Islamic Penal Code, constitutional framework, and oversight by the Guardian Council and Supreme Leader criminalize same-sex relations with penalties up to execution, rendering any recognition of same-sex marriage incompatible with current law and religious doctrine. The Majlis remains dominated by conservative factions, and no legislative proposals, judicial rulings, or reform initiatives have advanced in recent years amid leadership consolidation following the 2026 transition and ongoing regional tensions. Trader consensus at 98% “No” reflects these entrenched institutional barriers and the absence of political momentum for change. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes before the December 2026 resolution deadline include a major constitutional overhaul or unexpected policy reversal driven by internal upheaval, though such developments lack visible precursors.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Iran legally recognizes marriage between two people of the same sex anywhere within Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$79,273Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Mar 17, 2026, 8:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran’s Islamic Penal Code, constitutional framework, and oversight by the Guardian Council and Supreme Leader criminalize same-sex relations with penalties up to execution, rendering any recognition of same-sex marriage incompatible with current law and religious doctrine. The Majlis remains dominated by conservative factions, and no legislative proposals, judicial rulings, or reform initiatives have advanced in recent years amid leadership consolidation following the 2026 transition and ongoing regional tensions. Trader consensus at 98% “No” reflects these entrenched institutional barriers and the absence of political momentum for change. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes before the December 2026 resolution deadline include a major constitutional overhaul or unexpected policy reversal driven by internal upheaval, though such developments lack visible precursors.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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