The dominant 92% market-implied probability for "Other (Season Cancelled)" reflects ABC and Disney Entertainment Television’s March 19, 2026 decision to pull the already-filmed season hours before its planned March 22 premiere. A resurfaced 2023 video of lead Taylor Frankie Paul in a physical altercation with her ex-partner, Dakota Mortensen, in front of a child triggered the move amid an active domestic-violence investigation. No episodes have aired in the six months since, and ABC has not greenlit a summer or fall slot despite fan petitions and post-production rumors. Individual suitors, including reported frontrunner Doug Mason, carry negligible odds because the market treats the outcome as a non-event unless a finale airs by the November 30, 2026 resolution deadline. An upset would require an unexpected network reversal and rapid broadcast of the existing footage.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBachelorette Season 22 Winner
Other (Season Cancelled) 92%
Doug Mason 3.5%
Casey Hux <1%
Johnnie LaRossa <1%
$2,467,398 Vol.
$2,467,398 Vol.
Other (Season Cancelled)
92%
Doug Mason
4%
Casey Hux
1%
Johnnie LaRossa
1%
Michael Baba
1%
Matt Carroll
1%
Kevin Montero
1%
Clayton Johnson
1%
Josh Harward
1%
Shane Parton
1%
Malik Evans
<1%
Marcus Richardson
<1%
Rod Strozier
<1%
Ronn Perez
<1%
Christopher Wood
<1%
Brandon Perce
<1%
Aaron Kahng
<1%
Lew Evans
<1%
Richard Van De Water
<1%
Brad Ledford
<1%
Conrad Ukropina
<1%
Mike Turitto
<1%
Trenten Merrill
<1%
Other (Season Cancelled) 92%
Doug Mason 3.5%
Casey Hux <1%
Johnnie LaRossa <1%
$2,467,398 Vol.
$2,467,398 Vol.
Other (Season Cancelled)
92%
Doug Mason
4%
Casey Hux
1%
Johnnie LaRossa
1%
Michael Baba
1%
Matt Carroll
1%
Kevin Montero
1%
Clayton Johnson
1%
Josh Harward
1%
Shane Parton
1%
Malik Evans
<1%
Marcus Richardson
<1%
Rod Strozier
<1%
Ronn Perez
<1%
Christopher Wood
<1%
Brandon Perce
<1%
Aaron Kahng
<1%
Lew Evans
<1%
Richard Van De Water
<1%
Brad Ledford
<1%
Conrad Ukropina
<1%
Mike Turitto
<1%
Trenten Merrill
<1%
The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be considered.
If no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the final episode of the bachelorette is not publicly available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The official resolution source will be the finale episode of The Bachelorette Season 22.
Market Opened: Feb 24, 2026, 6:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be considered.
If no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the final episode of the bachelorette is not publicly available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The official resolution source will be the finale episode of The Bachelorette Season 22.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The dominant 92% market-implied probability for "Other (Season Cancelled)" reflects ABC and Disney Entertainment Television’s March 19, 2026 decision to pull the already-filmed season hours before its planned March 22 premiere. A resurfaced 2023 video of lead Taylor Frankie Paul in a physical altercation with her ex-partner, Dakota Mortensen, in front of a child triggered the move amid an active domestic-violence investigation. No episodes have aired in the six months since, and ABC has not greenlit a summer or fall slot despite fan petitions and post-production rumors. Individual suitors, including reported frontrunner Doug Mason, carry negligible odds because the market treats the outcome as a non-event unless a finale airs by the November 30, 2026 resolution deadline. An upset would require an unexpected network reversal and rapid broadcast of the existing footage.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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