Cilia Flores has remained in federal detention at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn since her capture alongside Nicolás Maduro during a U.S. military operation in Caracas on January 3, 2026. Both face U.S. drug-trafficking and narco-terrorism charges in the Southern District of New York, to which they entered not guilty pleas at arraignment on January 5. No bail application has been filed, and a federal judge set their joint trial for June 1, 2027, following a July 2026 pretrial hearing. Traders assess release probabilities around procedural milestones such as future bail motions, plea negotiations, or executive actions, while noting the extended pretrial timeline and limited recent diplomatic signals that could alter custody status before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMaduro's Wife Cilia Flores released from custody by...?
Maduro's Wife Cilia Flores released from custody by...?
$1,375,004 Vol.
Jan 31, 2026
December 31
17%
$1,375,004 Vol.
December 31
$328,403 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Cilia Flores has remained in federal detention at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn since her capture alongside Nicolás Maduro during a U.S. military operation in Caracas on January 3, 2026. Both face U.S. drug-trafficking and narco-terrorism charges in the Southern District of New York, to which they entered not guilty pleas at arraignment on January 5. No bail application has been filed, and a federal judge set their joint trial for June 1, 2027, following a July 2026 pretrial hearing. Traders assess release probabilities around procedural milestones such as future bail motions, plea negotiations, or executive actions, while noting the extended pretrial timeline and limited recent diplomatic signals that could alter custody status before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jan 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ET
Volume
$1,375,004End Date
Jan 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Cilia Flores has remained in federal detention at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn since her capture alongside Nicolás Maduro during a U.S. military operation in Caracas on January 3, 2026. Both face U.S. drug-trafficking and narco-terrorism charges in the Southern District of New York, to which they entered not guilty pleas at arraignment on January 5. No bail application has been filed, and a federal judge set their joint trial for June 1, 2027, following a July 2026 pretrial hearing. Traders assess release probabilities around procedural milestones such as future bail motions, plea negotiations, or executive actions, while noting the extended pretrial timeline and limited recent diplomatic signals that could alter custody status before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,375,004End Date
Jan 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Cilia Flores has remained in federal detention at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn since her capture alongside Nicolás Maduro during a U.S. military operation in Caracas on January 3, 2026. Both face U.S. drug-trafficking and narco-terrorism charges in the Southern District of New York, to which they entered not guilty pleas at arraignment on January 5. No bail application has been filed, and a federal judge set their joint trial for June 1, 2027, following a July 2026 pretrial hearing. Traders assess release probabilities around procedural milestones such as future bail motions, plea negotiations, or executive actions, while noting the extended pretrial timeline and limited recent diplomatic signals that could alter custody status before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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