Belit Onay’s commanding position in the Hannover mayoral market stems from his 45.6 percent share in the September 13 first round, far ahead of SPD challenger Axel von der Ohe at 21.5 percent and other candidates including the CDU’s Peter Karst at 14.1 percent. As the incumbent Green Party mayor since 2019, Onay benefits from established name recognition, a record on climate planning, mobility initiatives, and inner-city redevelopment that consolidated support among core voters. The September 27 runoff pits him directly against his former deputy, limiting vote fragmentation and favoring the frontrunner in a head-to-head contest. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages, though a narrow upset remains possible if turnout patterns shift sharply or if SPD mobilization exceeds expectations in the final days.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBelit Onay 95%
Axel von der Ohe 4.5%
Peter Karst <1%
Maren Kaminski <1%
$48,870 Vol.
$48,870 Vol.
Sep 13, 2026
Belit Onay
95%
Axel von der Ohe
5%
Peter Karst
<1%
Maren Kaminski
<1%
Jessica Schülke
<1%
Larissa Boch
<1%
Bruno Adam Wolf
<1%
Thorsten Meyer
<1%
Muammer Duran
<1%
Belit Onay 95%
Axel von der Ohe 4.5%
Peter Karst <1%
Maren Kaminski <1%
$48,870 Vol.
$48,870 Vol.
Sep 13, 2026
Belit Onay
$22,900 Vol.
95%
Axel von der Ohe
$13,210 Vol.
5%
Peter Karst
$4,565 Vol.
<1%
Maren Kaminski
$1,713 Vol.
<1%
Jessica Schülke
$4,042 Vol.
<1%
Larissa Boch
$603 Vol.
<1%
Bruno Adam Wolf
$653 Vol.
<1%
Thorsten Meyer
$567 Vol.
<1%
Muammer Duran
$616 Vol.
<1%
The next Hannover mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Hannover, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Landeshauptstadt Hannover). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hannover as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Landeshauptstadt Hannover, including its election office and municipal election committee.Belit Onay’s commanding position in the Hannover mayoral market stems from his 45.6 percent share in the September 13 first round, far ahead of SPD challenger Axel von der Ohe at 21.5 percent and other candidates including the CDU’s Peter Karst at 14.1 percent. As the incumbent Green Party mayor since 2019, Onay benefits from established name recognition, a record on climate planning, mobility initiatives, and inner-city redevelopment that consolidated support among core voters. The September 27 runoff pits him directly against his former deputy, limiting vote fragmentation and favoring the frontrunner in a head-to-head contest. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages, though a narrow upset remains possible if turnout patterns shift sharply or if SPD mobilization exceeds expectations in the final days.
The next Hannover mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Hannover, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Landeshauptstadt Hannover). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hannover as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Landeshauptstadt Hannover, including its election office and municipal election committee.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hannover as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Landeshauptstadt Hannover, including its election office and municipal election committee.
Market Opened: Jul 24, 2026, 7:39 PM ET
Volume
$48,870End Date
May 1, 2027Market Opened
Jul 24, 2026, 7:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The next Hannover mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Hannover, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Landeshauptstadt Hannover). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hannover as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Landeshauptstadt Hannover, including its election office and municipal election committee.Belit Onay’s commanding position in the Hannover mayoral market stems from his 45.6 percent share in the September 13 first round, far ahead of SPD challenger Axel von der Ohe at 21.5 percent and other candidates including the CDU’s Peter Karst at 14.1 percent. As the incumbent Green Party mayor since 2019, Onay benefits from established name recognition, a record on climate planning, mobility initiatives, and inner-city redevelopment that consolidated support among core voters. The September 27 runoff pits him directly against his former deputy, limiting vote fragmentation and favoring the frontrunner in a head-to-head contest. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages, though a narrow upset remains possible if turnout patterns shift sharply or if SPD mobilization exceeds expectations in the final days.
The next Hannover mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Hannover, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Landeshauptstadt Hannover). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hannover as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Landeshauptstadt Hannover, including its election office and municipal election committee.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hannover as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Landeshauptstadt Hannover, including its election office and municipal election committee.
Volume
$48,870End Date
May 1, 2027Market Opened
Jul 24, 2026, 7:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Belit Onay’s commanding position in the Hannover mayoral market stems from his 45.6 percent share in the September 13 first round, far ahead of SPD challenger Axel von der Ohe at 21.5 percent and other candidates including the CDU’s Peter Karst at 14.1 percent. As the incumbent Green Party mayor since 2019, Onay benefits from established name recognition, a record on climate planning, mobility initiatives, and inner-city redevelopment that consolidated support among core voters. The September 27 runoff pits him directly against his former deputy, limiting vote fragmentation and favoring the frontrunner in a head-to-head contest. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages, though a narrow upset remains possible if turnout patterns shift sharply or if SPD mobilization exceeds expectations in the final days.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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