Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record-shattering $360 million domestic opening and subsequent $2.48 billion worldwide haul through mid-September have anchored overwhelming trader consensus at 93.5% implied probability. The Sony/Marvel title’s strong legs, premium-format appeal, and franchise momentum established it as the year’s dominant earner well ahead of competitors still awaiting release. Avengers: Doomsday, the nearest challenger at 3.7%, opens December 18 but would require historically unprecedented holiday performance to close the gap. Later 2026 titles face even steeper barriers given Brand New Day’s existing lead and typical superhero holdover patterns.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest grossing movie in 2026?
Highest grossing movie in 2026?
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 94%
Avengers: Doomsday 3.7%
The Odyssey <1%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie <1%
$17,492,978 Vol.
$17,492,978 Vol.
Jan 7, 2027
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
94%
Avengers: Doomsday
4%
The Odyssey
<1%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie
<1%
Wicked: For Good
<1%
Wuthering Heights
<1%
Scream 7
<1%
Michael
<1%
Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu
<1%
Toy Story 5
<1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
<1%
Dune: Messiah
<1%
Project Hail Mary
<1%
Jumanji 3
<1%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 94%
Avengers: Doomsday 3.7%
The Odyssey <1%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie <1%
$17,492,978 Vol.
$17,492,978 Vol.
Jan 7, 2027
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
$656,404 Vol.
94%
Avengers: Doomsday
$1,003,331 Vol.
4%
The Odyssey
$952,829 Vol.
<1%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie
$625,354 Vol.
<1%
Wicked: For Good
$2,210,348 Vol.
<1%
Wuthering Heights
$2,305,863 Vol.
<1%
Scream 7
$2,458,304 Vol.
<1%
Michael
$1,321,132 Vol.
<1%
Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu
$820,443 Vol.
<1%
Toy Story 5
$617,160 Vol.
<1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
$1,178,936 Vol.
<1%
Dune: Messiah
$696,793 Vol.
<1%
Project Hail Mary
$1,430,668 Vol.
<1%
Jumanji 3
$1,215,414 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available.
Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross.
In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.
If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record-shattering $360 million domestic opening and subsequent $2.48 billion worldwide haul through mid-September have anchored overwhelming trader consensus at 93.5% implied probability. The Sony/Marvel title’s strong legs, premium-format appeal, and franchise momentum established it as the year’s dominant earner well ahead of competitors still awaiting release. Avengers: Doomsday, the nearest challenger at 3.7%, opens December 18 but would require historically unprecedented holiday performance to close the gap. Later 2026 titles face even steeper barriers given Brand New Day’s existing lead and typical superhero holdover patterns.
This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available.
Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross.
In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.
If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross.
In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.
If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Nov 12, 2025, 11:53 AM ET
Volume
$17,492,978End Date
Jan 8, 2027Market Opened
Nov 12, 2025, 11:53 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available.
Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross.
In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.
If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record-shattering $360 million domestic opening and subsequent $2.48 billion worldwide haul through mid-September have anchored overwhelming trader consensus at 93.5% implied probability. The Sony/Marvel title’s strong legs, premium-format appeal, and franchise momentum established it as the year’s dominant earner well ahead of competitors still awaiting release. Avengers: Doomsday, the nearest challenger at 3.7%, opens December 18 but would require historically unprecedented holiday performance to close the gap. Later 2026 titles face even steeper barriers given Brand New Day’s existing lead and typical superhero holdover patterns.
This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available.
Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross.
In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.
If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross.
In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.
If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$17,492,978End Date
Jan 8, 2027Market Opened
Nov 12, 2025, 11:53 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record-shattering $360 million domestic opening and subsequent $2.48 billion worldwide haul through mid-September have anchored overwhelming trader consensus at 93.5% implied probability. The Sony/Marvel title’s strong legs, premium-format appeal, and franchise momentum established it as the year’s dominant earner well ahead of competitors still awaiting release. Avengers: Doomsday, the nearest challenger at 3.7%, opens December 18 but would require historically unprecedented holiday performance to close the gap. Later 2026 titles face even steeper barriers given Brand New Day’s existing lead and typical superhero holdover patterns.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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