Forecast uncertainty in numerical weather prediction ensembles for July 17 centers on the precise position and strength of a high-pressure ridge over western Europe, which will determine maximum temperatures in Amsterdam. Current model guidance indicates a narrow spread centered on 22–24 °C, with northerly flow off the cooler North Sea acting as a moderating influence that historically caps coastal highs several degrees below inland values. Minor variations in cloud cover, timing of any frontal passage, or slight shifts in wind direction can readily differentiate between a 22 °C or 24 °C outcome, while sustained southerly flow would be required to push readings toward 26 °C or higher. Official KNMI and ECMWF runs issued in the next 48 hours will narrow this range ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Amsterdam on July 17?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on July 17?
24°C 32%
23°C 30%
22°C 20%
25°C 19%
NEW
NEW
Jul 17, 2026
20°C or below
2%
21°C
12%
22°C
20%
23°C
30%
24°C
32%
25°C
13%
26°C
10%
27°C
4%
28°C
2%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 32%
23°C 30%
22°C 20%
25°C 19%
NEW
NEW
Jul 17, 2026
20°C or below
$82 Vol.
2%
21°C
$43 Vol.
12%
22°C
$0 Vol.
20%
23°C
$0 Vol.
30%
24°C
$132 Vol.
32%
25°C
$10 Vol.
13%
26°C
$33 Vol.
10%
27°C
$0 Vol.
4%
28°C
$5 Vol.
2%
29°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast uncertainty in numerical weather prediction ensembles for July 17 centers on the precise position and strength of a high-pressure ridge over western Europe, which will determine maximum temperatures in Amsterdam. Current model guidance indicates a narrow spread centered on 22–24 °C, with northerly flow off the cooler North Sea acting as a moderating influence that historically caps coastal highs several degrees below inland values. Minor variations in cloud cover, timing of any frontal passage, or slight shifts in wind direction can readily differentiate between a 22 °C or 24 °C outcome, while sustained southerly flow would be required to push readings toward 26 °C or higher. Official KNMI and ECMWF runs issued in the next 48 hours will narrow this range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$305End Date
Jul 17, 2026Market Opened
Jul 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast uncertainty in numerical weather prediction ensembles for July 17 centers on the precise position and strength of a high-pressure ridge over western Europe, which will determine maximum temperatures in Amsterdam. Current model guidance indicates a narrow spread centered on 22–24 °C, with northerly flow off the cooler North Sea acting as a moderating influence that historically caps coastal highs several degrees below inland values. Minor variations in cloud cover, timing of any frontal passage, or slight shifts in wind direction can readily differentiate between a 22 °C or 24 °C outcome, while sustained southerly flow would be required to push readings toward 26 °C or higher. Official KNMI and ECMWF runs issued in the next 48 hours will narrow this range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$305End Date
Jul 17, 2026Market Opened
Jul 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast uncertainty in numerical weather prediction ensembles for July 17 centers on the precise position and strength of a high-pressure ridge over western Europe, which will determine maximum temperatures in Amsterdam. Current model guidance indicates a narrow spread centered on 22–24 °C, with northerly flow off the cooler North Sea acting as a moderating influence that historically caps coastal highs several degrees below inland values. Minor variations in cloud cover, timing of any frontal passage, or slight shifts in wind direction can readily differentiate between a 22 °C or 24 °C outcome, while sustained southerly flow would be required to push readings toward 26 °C or higher. Official KNMI and ECMWF runs issued in the next 48 hours will narrow this range ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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