Trader consensus favors a 24°C high in Helsinki on July 17, with notable probability on 23–25°C amid forecast spread. European model consensus currently shows a moderate high-pressure ridge supporting modest daytime heating, though variable cloud cover and possible weak frontal influences could limit peaks. Key variables include surface wind direction, boundary-layer moisture, and exact timing of any clearing trends, which affect maximum temperatures measured at official stations. July climatology places average highs near 22°C, so recent model shifts toward slightly above-normal conditions underpin the distribution. Updated runs from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ensemble guidance will refine outcomes ahead of the daily observation window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Helsinki on July 17?
Highest temperature in Helsinki on July 17?
24°C 38%
25°C 32%
23°C 18%
22°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Jul 17, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
9%
22°C
10%
23°C
18%
24°C
38%
25°C
32%
26°C
7%
27°C
3%
28°C
3%
29°C or higher
1%
24°C 38%
25°C 32%
23°C 18%
22°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Jul 17, 2026
19°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$0 Vol.
2%
21°C
$137 Vol.
9%
22°C
$0 Vol.
10%
23°C
$0 Vol.
18%
24°C
$26 Vol.
38%
25°C
$26 Vol.
32%
26°C
$5 Vol.
7%
27°C
$0 Vol.
3%
28°C
$5 Vol.
3%
29°C or higher
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus favors a 24°C high in Helsinki on July 17, with notable probability on 23–25°C amid forecast spread. European model consensus currently shows a moderate high-pressure ridge supporting modest daytime heating, though variable cloud cover and possible weak frontal influences could limit peaks. Key variables include surface wind direction, boundary-layer moisture, and exact timing of any clearing trends, which affect maximum temperatures measured at official stations. July climatology places average highs near 22°C, so recent model shifts toward slightly above-normal conditions underpin the distribution. Updated runs from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ensemble guidance will refine outcomes ahead of the daily observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$201End Date
Jul 17, 2026Market Opened
Jul 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus favors a 24°C high in Helsinki on July 17, with notable probability on 23–25°C amid forecast spread. European model consensus currently shows a moderate high-pressure ridge supporting modest daytime heating, though variable cloud cover and possible weak frontal influences could limit peaks. Key variables include surface wind direction, boundary-layer moisture, and exact timing of any clearing trends, which affect maximum temperatures measured at official stations. July climatology places average highs near 22°C, so recent model shifts toward slightly above-normal conditions underpin the distribution. Updated runs from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ensemble guidance will refine outcomes ahead of the daily observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$201End Date
Jul 17, 2026Market Opened
Jul 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors a 24°C high in Helsinki on July 17, with notable probability on 23–25°C amid forecast spread. European model consensus currently shows a moderate high-pressure ridge supporting modest daytime heating, though variable cloud cover and possible weak frontal influences could limit peaks. Key variables include surface wind direction, boundary-layer moisture, and exact timing of any clearing trends, which affect maximum temperatures measured at official stations. July climatology places average highs near 22°C, so recent model shifts toward slightly above-normal conditions underpin the distribution. Updated runs from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ensemble guidance will refine outcomes ahead of the daily observation window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions