Recent seasonal outlooks from China's National Climate Center highlight above-average temperatures across southern regions through August, with daytime highs frequently exceeding 35°C amid the subtropical monsoon pattern, driving the tight clustering of Polymarket odds on 35°C and 36°C for Wuhan's July 17 peak. Local factors include persistent high humidity near 80 percent that elevates apparent temperatures, combined with urban heat-island effects in the Yangtze River valley and limited cloud cover allowing strong solar heating. Short-term model consensus shows modest day-to-day variability of 1–2°C around these values, while historical July records indicate 35–37°C as typical rather than extreme, leaving room for modest downward shifts if monsoon rains arrive earlier than projected.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on July 17?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on July 17?
36°C 28%
35°C 20%
37°C 13.2%
38°C 12.5%
NEW
NEW
Jul 17, 2026
32°C or below
2%
33°C
7%
34°C
11%
35°C
22%
36°C
28%
37°C
13%
38°C
12%
39°C
9%
40°C
3%
41°C
1%
42°C or higher
1%
36°C 28%
35°C 20%
37°C 13.2%
38°C 12.5%
NEW
NEW
Jul 17, 2026
32°C or below
$20 Vol.
2%
33°C
$0 Vol.
7%
34°C
$0 Vol.
11%
35°C
$30 Vol.
22%
36°C
$53 Vol.
28%
37°C
$0 Vol.
13%
38°C
$0 Vol.
12%
39°C
$29 Vol.
9%
40°C
$50 Vol.
3%
41°C
$16 Vol.
1%
42°C or higher
$108 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent seasonal outlooks from China's National Climate Center highlight above-average temperatures across southern regions through August, with daytime highs frequently exceeding 35°C amid the subtropical monsoon pattern, driving the tight clustering of Polymarket odds on 35°C and 36°C for Wuhan's July 17 peak. Local factors include persistent high humidity near 80 percent that elevates apparent temperatures, combined with urban heat-island effects in the Yangtze River valley and limited cloud cover allowing strong solar heating. Short-term model consensus shows modest day-to-day variability of 1–2°C around these values, while historical July records indicate 35–37°C as typical rather than extreme, leaving room for modest downward shifts if monsoon rains arrive earlier than projected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$306End Date
Jul 17, 2026Market Opened
Jul 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent seasonal outlooks from China's National Climate Center highlight above-average temperatures across southern regions through August, with daytime highs frequently exceeding 35°C amid the subtropical monsoon pattern, driving the tight clustering of Polymarket odds on 35°C and 36°C for Wuhan's July 17 peak. Local factors include persistent high humidity near 80 percent that elevates apparent temperatures, combined with urban heat-island effects in the Yangtze River valley and limited cloud cover allowing strong solar heating. Short-term model consensus shows modest day-to-day variability of 1–2°C around these values, while historical July records indicate 35–37°C as typical rather than extreme, leaving room for modest downward shifts if monsoon rains arrive earlier than projected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$306End Date
Jul 17, 2026Market Opened
Jul 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent seasonal outlooks from China's National Climate Center highlight above-average temperatures across southern regions through August, with daytime highs frequently exceeding 35°C amid the subtropical monsoon pattern, driving the tight clustering of Polymarket odds on 35°C and 36°C for Wuhan's July 17 peak. Local factors include persistent high humidity near 80 percent that elevates apparent temperatures, combined with urban heat-island effects in the Yangtze River valley and limited cloud cover allowing strong solar heating. Short-term model consensus shows modest day-to-day variability of 1–2°C around these values, while historical July records indicate 35–37°C as typical rather than extreme, leaving room for modest downward shifts if monsoon rains arrive earlier than projected.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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