Clear skies and stable high-pressure conditions over central Anatolia are positioning Ankara for a maximum temperature near 30°C on September 10, 2026, aligning with the market’s 65% implied probability for that outcome and 27% for 31°C. Light northeasterly winds, low humidity near 20-30% during peak heating hours, and strong September insolation under cloud-free skies support efficient surface warming from morning lows around 14°C. Official forecasts and ensemble model consensus show afternoon peaks of 29-30°C, consistent with seasonal norms slightly above the long-term average high of ~26°C, with minimal model spread reducing the likelihood of deviations to 32°C or below 29°C. Updated midday observations confirm the trajectory toward the leading bins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on September 10?
Highest temperature in Ankara on September 10?
30°C 68%
31°C 19%
29°C 13%
32°C 1.1%
$30,698 Vol.
$30,698 Vol.
Sep 10, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
13%
30°C
68%
31°C
19%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
30°C 68%
31°C 19%
29°C 13%
32°C 1.1%
$30,698 Vol.
$30,698 Vol.
Sep 10, 2026
24°C or below
$1,489 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$361 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,247 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$920 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,606 Vol.
1%
29°C
$3,748 Vol.
13%
30°C
$8,104 Vol.
68%
31°C
$6,860 Vol.
19%
32°C
$3,434 Vol.
1%
33°C
$1,176 Vol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$1,752 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies and stable high-pressure conditions over central Anatolia are positioning Ankara for a maximum temperature near 30°C on September 10, 2026, aligning with the market’s 65% implied probability for that outcome and 27% for 31°C. Light northeasterly winds, low humidity near 20-30% during peak heating hours, and strong September insolation under cloud-free skies support efficient surface warming from morning lows around 14°C. Official forecasts and ensemble model consensus show afternoon peaks of 29-30°C, consistent with seasonal norms slightly above the long-term average high of ~26°C, with minimal model spread reducing the likelihood of deviations to 32°C or below 29°C. Updated midday observations confirm the trajectory toward the leading bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$30,698End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies and stable high-pressure conditions over central Anatolia are positioning Ankara for a maximum temperature near 30°C on September 10, 2026, aligning with the market’s 65% implied probability for that outcome and 27% for 31°C. Light northeasterly winds, low humidity near 20-30% during peak heating hours, and strong September insolation under cloud-free skies support efficient surface warming from morning lows around 14°C. Official forecasts and ensemble model consensus show afternoon peaks of 29-30°C, consistent with seasonal norms slightly above the long-term average high of ~26°C, with minimal model spread reducing the likelihood of deviations to 32°C or below 29°C. Updated midday observations confirm the trajectory toward the leading bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$30,698End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Clear skies and stable high-pressure conditions over central Anatolia are positioning Ankara for a maximum temperature near 30°C on September 10, 2026, aligning with the market’s 65% implied probability for that outcome and 27% for 31°C. Light northeasterly winds, low humidity near 20-30% during peak heating hours, and strong September insolation under cloud-free skies support efficient surface warming from morning lows around 14°C. Official forecasts and ensemble model consensus show afternoon peaks of 29-30°C, consistent with seasonal norms slightly above the long-term average high of ~26°C, with minimal model spread reducing the likelihood of deviations to 32°C or below 29°C. Updated midday observations confirm the trajectory toward the leading bins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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