Recent short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble models indicate a daytime high in Busan on June 18 likely near 28–29 °C, driven by weak high pressure, light southerly flow off the East Sea, and modest insolation under partly cloudy skies with early showers possible. These conditions produce the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 28–30 °C, as small differences in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Mid-June climatology for Busan shows average highs of 24–26 °C, so current guidance reflects above-normal warmth from seasonal progression and limited monsoon influence. Updated KMA model runs and afternoon observations tomorrow will resolve the narrow spread among the leading outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Busan on June 18?
29°C 37%
30°C 31%
28°C 22%
31°C 6.5%
$10,303 Vol.
$10,303 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
6%
28°C
22%
29°C
37%
30°C
31%
31°C
6%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 37%
30°C 31%
28°C 22%
31°C 6.5%
$10,303 Vol.
$10,303 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
6%
28°C
22%
29°C
37%
30°C
31%
31°C
6%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble models indicate a daytime high in Busan on June 18 likely near 28–29 °C, driven by weak high pressure, light southerly flow off the East Sea, and modest insolation under partly cloudy skies with early showers possible. These conditions produce the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 28–30 °C, as small differences in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Mid-June climatology for Busan shows average highs of 24–26 °C, so current guidance reflects above-normal warmth from seasonal progression and limited monsoon influence. Updated KMA model runs and afternoon observations tomorrow will resolve the narrow spread among the leading outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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