Recent forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and Turkish Meteorological Service models indicate Ankara highs near 29–30 °C on June 17 under building high pressure, light northeasterly flow, and clear skies that promote strong daytime insolation across the Anatolian plateau. These conditions support modest warming above the long-term June climatological average of 25–27 °C, with limited moisture and weak winds reducing evaporative cooling. Small differences among leading outcomes hinge on precise boundary-layer mixing depth and any late-day cloud development that could trim peak readings by 1–2 °C. With market-implied probabilities tightly clustered, traders are weighting the narrow spread in ensemble guidance and the proximity to resolution, where updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine the final maximum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月17日安卡拉的最高温度?
29°C 33%
30°C 30%
28°C 21%
31°C 7.8%
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
21%
29°C
33%
30°C
30%
31°C
8%
32°C
3%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 33%
30°C 30%
28°C 21%
31°C 7.8%
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
21%
29°C
33%
30°C
30%
31°C
8%
32°C
3%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 15, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and Turkish Meteorological Service models indicate Ankara highs near 29–30 °C on June 17 under building high pressure, light northeasterly flow, and clear skies that promote strong daytime insolation across the Anatolian plateau. These conditions support modest warming above the long-term June climatological average of 25–27 °C, with limited moisture and weak winds reducing evaporative cooling. Small differences among leading outcomes hinge on precise boundary-layer mixing depth and any late-day cloud development that could trim peak readings by 1–2 °C. With market-implied probabilities tightly clustered, traders are weighting the narrow spread in ensemble guidance and the proximity to resolution, where updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine the final maximum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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