Recent forecasts for Hong Kong indicate a high likelihood of showers and thunderstorms around June 17, driven by an active southwest monsoon trough and enhanced moisture, which limits daytime solar heating and caps maximum temperatures. Official seasonal guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory notes above-normal temperatures for June–August 2026 overall, consistent with long-term warming trends, yet short-range model consensus points to daily maxima clustered near 28–29°C under persistent cloud cover and precipitation. These conditions differentiate the tightly matched market outcomes at 28°C and 29°C, as even modest reductions in rainfall or shifts in steering flow could allow brief clearing and push readings to 30°C. Historical June climatology shows similar variability, with convective activity frequently suppressing peaks below seasonal averages of 30–31°C. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and local observatory briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine the precise maximum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Hong Kong on June 17?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 17?
29°C 34%
28°C 33%
30°C 16%
27°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Jun 17, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
14%
28°C
33%
29°C
34%
30°C
16%
31°C
6%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
3%
29°C 34%
28°C 33%
30°C 16%
27°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Jun 17, 2026
23°C or below
$119 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$49 Vol.
1%
25°C
$149 Vol.
1%
26°C
$304 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$376 Vol.
14%
28°C
$260 Vol.
33%
29°C
$154 Vol.
34%
30°C
$373 Vol.
16%
31°C
$47 Vol.
6%
32°C
$82 Vol.
3%
33°C or higher
$49 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts for Hong Kong indicate a high likelihood of showers and thunderstorms around June 17, driven by an active southwest monsoon trough and enhanced moisture, which limits daytime solar heating and caps maximum temperatures. Official seasonal guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory notes above-normal temperatures for June–August 2026 overall, consistent with long-term warming trends, yet short-range model consensus points to daily maxima clustered near 28–29°C under persistent cloud cover and precipitation. These conditions differentiate the tightly matched market outcomes at 28°C and 29°C, as even modest reductions in rainfall or shifts in steering flow could allow brief clearing and push readings to 30°C. Historical June climatology shows similar variability, with convective activity frequently suppressing peaks below seasonal averages of 30–31°C. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and local observatory briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine the precise maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Jun 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$1,832End Date
Jun 17, 2026Market Opened
Jun 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts for Hong Kong indicate a high likelihood of showers and thunderstorms around June 17, driven by an active southwest monsoon trough and enhanced moisture, which limits daytime solar heating and caps maximum temperatures. Official seasonal guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory notes above-normal temperatures for June–August 2026 overall, consistent with long-term warming trends, yet short-range model consensus points to daily maxima clustered near 28–29°C under persistent cloud cover and precipitation. These conditions differentiate the tightly matched market outcomes at 28°C and 29°C, as even modest reductions in rainfall or shifts in steering flow could allow brief clearing and push readings to 30°C. Historical June climatology shows similar variability, with convective activity frequently suppressing peaks below seasonal averages of 30–31°C. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and local observatory briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine the precise maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,832End Date
Jun 17, 2026Market Opened
Jun 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Hong Kong indicate a high likelihood of showers and thunderstorms around June 17, driven by an active southwest monsoon trough and enhanced moisture, which limits daytime solar heating and caps maximum temperatures. Official seasonal guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory notes above-normal temperatures for June–August 2026 overall, consistent with long-term warming trends, yet short-range model consensus points to daily maxima clustered near 28–29°C under persistent cloud cover and precipitation. These conditions differentiate the tightly matched market outcomes at 28°C and 29°C, as even modest reductions in rainfall or shifts in steering flow could allow brief clearing and push readings to 30°C. Historical June climatology shows similar variability, with convective activity frequently suppressing peaks below seasonal averages of 30–31°C. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and local observatory briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine the precise maximum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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