Close trader consensus around 38°C and 39°C implied probabilities reflects substantial short-range forecast uncertainty for Lucknow’s June 17 maximum, driven by ensemble spread in IMD and global models. Pre-monsoon heat buildup under a persisting heat low over northwest India favors daytime highs near or above long-term June normals of 38–40°C, yet variable low-level moisture advection and possible weak western disturbance interaction could cap or enhance temperatures by 1–2°C. Recent observational trends show daytime maxima already tracking 2–3°C above climatology, while model disagreement centers on boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover timing. Updated IMD guidance and 48-hour ensemble runs expected within the next day will likely narrow resolution criteria around official station readings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月17日勒克瑙的最高温度？
6月17日勒克瑙的最高温度？
38°C 33%
39°C 27%
40°C 13%
37°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-06-17
34°C或以下
1%
35°C
1%
36°C
6%
37°C
12%
38°C
33%
39°C
27%
40°C
13%
41°C
4%
42°C
2%
43°C
1%
44°C或更高
1%
38°C 33%
39°C 27%
40°C 13%
37°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-06-17
34°C或以下
$5 交易量
1%
35°C
$278 交易量
1%
36°C
$0 交易量
6%
37°C
$43 交易量
12%
38°C
$0 交易量
33%
39°C
$23 交易量
27%
40°C
$0 交易量
13%
41°C
$199 交易量
4%
42°C
$19 交易量
2%
43°C
$15 交易量
1%
44°C或更高
$0 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Close trader consensus around 38°C and 39°C implied probabilities reflects substantial short-range forecast uncertainty for Lucknow’s June 17 maximum, driven by ensemble spread in IMD and global models. Pre-monsoon heat buildup under a persisting heat low over northwest India favors daytime highs near or above long-term June normals of 38–40°C, yet variable low-level moisture advection and possible weak western disturbance interaction could cap or enhance temperatures by 1–2°C. Recent observational trends show daytime maxima already tracking 2–3°C above climatology, while model disagreement centers on boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover timing. Updated IMD guidance and 48-hour ensemble runs expected within the next day will likely narrow resolution criteria around official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 15, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
交易量
$80结束日期
2026-06-17市场开放时间
Jun 15, 2026, 1:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Close trader consensus around 38°C and 39°C implied probabilities reflects substantial short-range forecast uncertainty for Lucknow’s June 17 maximum, driven by ensemble spread in IMD and global models. Pre-monsoon heat buildup under a persisting heat low over northwest India favors daytime highs near or above long-term June normals of 38–40°C, yet variable low-level moisture advection and possible weak western disturbance interaction could cap or enhance temperatures by 1–2°C. Recent observational trends show daytime maxima already tracking 2–3°C above climatology, while model disagreement centers on boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover timing. Updated IMD guidance and 48-hour ensemble runs expected within the next day will likely narrow resolution criteria around official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$80结束日期
2026-06-17市场开放时间
Jun 15, 2026, 1:03 AM ETClose trader consensus around 38°C and 39°C implied probabilities reflects substantial short-range forecast uncertainty for Lucknow’s June 17 maximum, driven by ensemble spread in IMD and global models. Pre-monsoon heat buildup under a persisting heat low over northwest India favors daytime highs near or above long-term June normals of 38–40°C, yet variable low-level moisture advection and possible weak western disturbance interaction could cap or enhance temperatures by 1–2°C. Recent observational trends show daytime maxima already tracking 2–3°C above climatology, while model disagreement centers on boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover timing. Updated IMD guidance and 48-hour ensemble runs expected within the next day will likely narrow resolution criteria around official station readings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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