**Recent forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather point to overnight lows near 16–17°C for Seoul on June 17, 2026, under mostly cloudy conditions, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 16°C-or-below (32%) and 20°C (27%).** This balance reflects uncertainty in short-range model guidance two days out. Key scientific drivers include limited radiational cooling from persistent cloud cover and high humidity typical of early East Asian summer monsoon transitions, which suppress nighttime temperature drops. Light winds and weak pressure gradients further moderate cooling, keeping minima close to the June climatological baseline of 18–21°C. Clearer skies or stronger northerly advection could push readings to 16°C or below, while stronger warm-air advection or increased cloud insulation might hold them near 20–21°C. KMA updates and fresh global model runs remain the primary near-term catalysts that could shift the narrow probability spread.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Seoul on June 17?
Lowest temperature in Seoul on June 17?
16°C or below 34%
20°C 30%
21°C 22%
19°C 17%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 17, 2026
16°C or below
34%
17°C
11%
18°C
13%
19°C
17%
20°C
30%
21°C
22%
22°C
14%
23°C
11%
24°C
8%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
16°C or below 34%
20°C 30%
21°C 22%
19°C 17%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 17, 2026
16°C or below
$30 Обс.
34%
17°C
$0 Обс.
11%
18°C
$0 Обс.
13%
19°C
$16 Обс.
17%
20°C
$0 Обс.
30%
21°C
$0 Обс.
22%
22°C
$0 Обс.
14%
23°C
$0 Обс.
11%
24°C
$10 Обс.
8%
25°C
$0 Обс.
<1%
26°C or higher
$0 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather point to overnight lows near 16–17°C for Seoul on June 17, 2026, under mostly cloudy conditions, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 16°C-or-below (32%) and 20°C (27%).**
This balance reflects uncertainty in short-range model guidance two days out. Key scientific drivers include limited radiational cooling from persistent cloud cover and high humidity typical of early East Asian summer monsoon transitions, which suppress nighttime temperature drops. Light winds and weak pressure gradients further moderate cooling, keeping minima close to the June climatological baseline of 18–21°C.
Clearer skies or stronger northerly advection could push readings to 16°C or below, while stronger warm-air advection or increased cloud insulation might hold them near 20–21°C. KMA updates and fresh global model runs remain the primary near-term catalysts that could shift the narrow probability spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Обсяг
$10Дата завершення
Jun 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather point to overnight lows near 16–17°C for Seoul on June 17, 2026, under mostly cloudy conditions, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 16°C-or-below (32%) and 20°C (27%).**
This balance reflects uncertainty in short-range model guidance two days out. Key scientific drivers include limited radiational cooling from persistent cloud cover and high humidity typical of early East Asian summer monsoon transitions, which suppress nighttime temperature drops. Light winds and weak pressure gradients further moderate cooling, keeping minima close to the June climatological baseline of 18–21°C.
Clearer skies or stronger northerly advection could push readings to 16°C or below, while stronger warm-air advection or increased cloud insulation might hold them near 20–21°C. KMA updates and fresh global model runs remain the primary near-term catalysts that could shift the narrow probability spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$10Дата завершення
Jun 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather point to overnight lows near 16–17°C for Seoul on June 17, 2026, under mostly cloudy conditions, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 16°C-or-below (32%) and 20°C (27%).** This balance reflects uncertainty in short-range model guidance two days out. Key scientific drivers include limited radiational cooling from persistent cloud cover and high humidity typical of early East Asian summer monsoon transitions, which suppress nighttime temperature drops. Light winds and weak pressure gradients further moderate cooling, keeping minima close to the June climatological baseline of 18–21°C. Clearer skies or stronger northerly advection could push readings to 16°C or below, while stronger warm-air advection or increased cloud insulation might hold them near 20–21°C. KMA updates and fresh global model runs remain the primary near-term catalysts that could shift the narrow probability spread.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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