Trader sentiment for Manila's June 17 peak temperature clusters tightly around 33–35°C because official PAGASA and extended model guidance currently project highs of 32–34°C under the southwest monsoon regime, with moderate cloud cover and scattered showers expected to limit full solar heating. Key differentiators include local humidity levels above 70%, which suppress maximums through evaporative cooling, versus any breaks in cloud allowing brief spikes toward 35–36°C; urban heat island effects in Metro Manila can add 1–2°C locally. Historical June climatology shows average daily highs near 32°C, but interannual variability from monsoon timing keeps 34°C narrowly favored in the latest runs, with 36°C or higher remaining unlikely absent a drier, clearer pattern shift before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Manila on June 17?
34°C 38%
35°C 28%
33°C 23%
36°C 12%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
8%
33°C
23%
34°C
38%
35°C
28%
36°C
12%
37°C
4%
38°C or higher
1%
34°C 38%
35°C 28%
33°C 23%
36°C 12%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
8%
33°C
23%
34°C
38%
35°C
28%
36°C
12%
37°C
4%
38°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 15, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader sentiment for Manila's June 17 peak temperature clusters tightly around 33–35°C because official PAGASA and extended model guidance currently project highs of 32–34°C under the southwest monsoon regime, with moderate cloud cover and scattered showers expected to limit full solar heating. Key differentiators include local humidity levels above 70%, which suppress maximums through evaporative cooling, versus any breaks in cloud allowing brief spikes toward 35–36°C; urban heat island effects in Metro Manila can add 1–2°C locally. Historical June climatology shows average daily highs near 32°C, but interannual variability from monsoon timing keeps 34°C narrowly favored in the latest runs, with 36°C or higher remaining unlikely absent a drier, clearer pattern shift before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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