Forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and international sources indicate persistent cloud cover, showers, and thunderstorms over Hong Kong on June 16, driven by a monsoon trough and southeasterly flow that limits solar insolation and promotes evaporative cooling. These conditions typically suppress maximum temperatures below the June climatological average of ~31°C, favoring outcomes near 28–29°C as the daily high at official stations. Uncertainties stem from the precise timing and intensity of convective cells, which could allow brief breaks of sun to push readings toward 30°C or keep them capped at 27°C depending on rainfall distribution. Recent model runs show stable guidance for unsettled weather through mid-month, aligning with trader consensus on the closely matched leading probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Hong Kong on June 16?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 16?
29°C 32%
28°C 28%
30°C 19%
27°C 16%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 juin 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
4%
27°C
16%
28°C
28%
29°C
32%
30°C
19%
31°C
7%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
<1%
29°C 32%
28°C 28%
30°C 19%
27°C 16%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 juin 2026
23°C or below
$117 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$13 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$231 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$261 Vol.
4%
27°C
$68 Vol.
16%
28°C
$71 Vol.
28%
29°C
$166 Vol.
32%
30°C
$69 Vol.
19%
31°C
$381 Vol.
7%
32°C
$370 Vol.
2%
33°C or higher
$23 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and international sources indicate persistent cloud cover, showers, and thunderstorms over Hong Kong on June 16, driven by a monsoon trough and southeasterly flow that limits solar insolation and promotes evaporative cooling. These conditions typically suppress maximum temperatures below the June climatological average of ~31°C, favoring outcomes near 28–29°C as the daily high at official stations. Uncertainties stem from the precise timing and intensity of convective cells, which could allow brief breaks of sun to push readings toward 30°C or keep them capped at 27°C depending on rainfall distribution. Recent model runs show stable guidance for unsettled weather through mid-month, aligning with trader consensus on the closely matched leading probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$1,770Date de fin
16 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and international sources indicate persistent cloud cover, showers, and thunderstorms over Hong Kong on June 16, driven by a monsoon trough and southeasterly flow that limits solar insolation and promotes evaporative cooling. These conditions typically suppress maximum temperatures below the June climatological average of ~31°C, favoring outcomes near 28–29°C as the daily high at official stations. Uncertainties stem from the precise timing and intensity of convective cells, which could allow brief breaks of sun to push readings toward 30°C or keep them capped at 27°C depending on rainfall distribution. Recent model runs show stable guidance for unsettled weather through mid-month, aligning with trader consensus on the closely matched leading probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,770Date de fin
16 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and international sources indicate persistent cloud cover, showers, and thunderstorms over Hong Kong on June 16, driven by a monsoon trough and southeasterly flow that limits solar insolation and promotes evaporative cooling. These conditions typically suppress maximum temperatures below the June climatological average of ~31°C, favoring outcomes near 28–29°C as the daily high at official stations. Uncertainties stem from the precise timing and intensity of convective cells, which could allow brief breaks of sun to push readings toward 30°C or keep them capped at 27°C depending on rainfall distribution. Recent model runs show stable guidance for unsettled weather through mid-month, aligning with trader consensus on the closely matched leading probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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