Forecast models indicate a minimum temperature in Paris on June 17 most likely between 15–17°C due to moderate radiative cooling overnight under partly cloudy skies and light winds, keeping values above seasonal norms near 13–14°C. Recent high-pressure influence has supported stable conditions with limited nocturnal heat loss, while urban heat island effects and surface moisture further moderate lows. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around these values, with small shifts in cloud timing or advection capable of differentiating the leading 15°C, 16°C, and 17°C outcomes. Updated runs from Météo-France and ECMWF expected within 24 hours will clarify resolution thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Paris on June 17?
16°C 28%
15°C 24%
17°C 19%
14°C 8%
13°C or below
5%
14°C
8%
15°C
24%
16°C
28%
17°C
19%
18°C
5%
19°C
5%
20°C
4%
21°C
2%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
16°C 28%
15°C 24%
17°C 19%
14°C 8%
13°C or below
5%
14°C
8%
15°C
24%
16°C
28%
17°C
19%
18°C
5%
19°C
5%
20°C
4%
21°C
2%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models indicate a minimum temperature in Paris on June 17 most likely between 15–17°C due to moderate radiative cooling overnight under partly cloudy skies and light winds, keeping values above seasonal norms near 13–14°C. Recent high-pressure influence has supported stable conditions with limited nocturnal heat loss, while urban heat island effects and surface moisture further moderate lows. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around these values, with small shifts in cloud timing or advection capable of differentiating the leading 15°C, 16°C, and 17°C outcomes. Updated runs from Météo-France and ECMWF expected within 24 hours will clarify resolution thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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