Current forecast models from agencies like the Met Office and BBC indicate a high of 15–16°C in Wellington on June 15, 2026, with light rain, fresh northwesterly winds, and overnight lows near 9–10°C. These conditions align with near-average winter temperatures for the region per NIWA’s April–June outlook, where mild northerly flows can temporarily lift maxima above the typical 12–14°C June baseline. Trader consensus around 16–17°C reflects this model agreement and historical variability from wind shifts or cloud cover, while lower odds on 18°C+ or sub-15°C outcomes account for potential forecast revisions as new runs incorporate updated pressure patterns and precipitation timing.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Wellington on June 15?
17°C 49%
16°C 39%
18°C 8%
15°C 4.1%
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
4%
16°C
39%
17°C
49%
18°C
8%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
17°C 49%
16°C 39%
18°C 8%
15°C 4.1%
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
4%
16°C
39%
17°C
49%
18°C
8%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from agencies like the Met Office and BBC indicate a high of 15–16°C in Wellington on June 15, 2026, with light rain, fresh northwesterly winds, and overnight lows near 9–10°C. These conditions align with near-average winter temperatures for the region per NIWA’s April–June outlook, where mild northerly flows can temporarily lift maxima above the typical 12–14°C June baseline. Trader consensus around 16–17°C reflects this model agreement and historical variability from wind shifts or cloud cover, while lower odds on 18°C+ or sub-15°C outcomes account for potential forecast revisions as new runs incorporate updated pressure patterns and precipitation timing.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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