Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and supporting ensemble models indicate minimum temperatures in Tokyo near 17–19°C for June 16–17 amid mostly cloudy conditions and typical early-tsuyu humidity, aligning with climatological normals of 18–19°C. These atmospheric patterns—limited nocturnal radiative cooling under cloud cover and moderate southerly flow—position 19–20°C as the leading market outcomes, reflecting trader consensus on verified observational data rather than speculative shifts. Minor adjustments could arise from final model runs or localized urban effects, though current stability and historical June variability limit large deviations ahead of resolution based on official station readings.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月17日の東京の最低気温は?
20℃ 50%
23°C 27%
19°C 25%
22℃ 11%
15℃以下
3%
16℃
2%
17°C
5%
18℃
3%
19°C
25%
20℃
50%
21℃
8%
22℃
11%
23°C
27%
24°C
1%
25℃以上
<1%
20℃ 50%
23°C 27%
19°C 25%
22℃ 11%
15℃以下
3%
16℃
2%
17°C
5%
18℃
3%
19°C
25%
20℃
50%
21℃
8%
22℃
11%
23°C
27%
24°C
1%
25℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and supporting ensemble models indicate minimum temperatures in Tokyo near 17–19°C for June 16–17 amid mostly cloudy conditions and typical early-tsuyu humidity, aligning with climatological normals of 18–19°C. These atmospheric patterns—limited nocturnal radiative cooling under cloud cover and moderate southerly flow—position 19–20°C as the leading market outcomes, reflecting trader consensus on verified observational data rather than speculative shifts. Minor adjustments could arise from final model runs or localized urban effects, though current stability and historical June variability limit large deviations ahead of resolution based on official station readings.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問