Recent forecast guidance from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and European models indicates a stable high-pressure influence over southern Finland, supporting maximum temperatures near 15–17°C on June 13 with limited daytime heating due to persistent cloud cover and light northeasterly flow. This positions 17–18°C as the most probable range, aligning with the market’s leading 33% and 18% implied probabilities, while warmer outcomes above 19°C would require unexpected clearing or southerly advection not currently favored. Historical June climatology in Helsinki shows mean daily maxima of 16–19°C, but short-term model spread and potential for minor timing shifts in frontal passages introduce the observed dispersion across 16–20°C bins. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will further refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Helsinki on June 13?
18°C 33%
19°C 20%
17°C 18%
20°C 11%
12°C or below
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
3%
16°C
10%
17°C
18%
18°C
33%
19°C
20%
20°C
11%
21°C
5%
22°C or higher
2%
18°C 33%
19°C 20%
17°C 18%
20°C 11%
12°C or below
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
3%
16°C
10%
17°C
18%
18°C
33%
19°C
20%
20°C
11%
21°C
5%
22°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 11, 2026, 12:17 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast guidance from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and European models indicates a stable high-pressure influence over southern Finland, supporting maximum temperatures near 15–17°C on June 13 with limited daytime heating due to persistent cloud cover and light northeasterly flow. This positions 17–18°C as the most probable range, aligning with the market’s leading 33% and 18% implied probabilities, while warmer outcomes above 19°C would require unexpected clearing or southerly advection not currently favored. Historical June climatology in Helsinki shows mean daily maxima of 16–19°C, but short-term model spread and potential for minor timing shifts in frontal passages introduce the observed dispersion across 16–20°C bins. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will further refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions