Recent official forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and Pakistan Meteorological Department models indicate highest temperatures in Karachi on August 4 will likely reach 30–33°C amid the active monsoon, with cloud cover, humidity, and possible showers moderating daytime peaks relative to pre-monsoon extremes. Trader consensus, reflected in the 48.5% implied probability for 33°C, aligns with these guidance ranges and seasonal averages near 32°C, while lower probabilities for 34°C or above account for model spread and potential brief clearing. Historical August baselines and current steering patterns support this positioning, with PMD updates expected in the next 24–48 hours offering the next key data point for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on August 4?
Highest temperature in Karachi on August 4?
33°C 47%
34°C 29%
32°C 22%
35°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 4, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
3%
32°C
22%
33°C
47%
34°C
29%
35°C
5%
36°C
3%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 47%
34°C 29%
32°C 22%
35°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 4, 2026
27°C or below
$95 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$5 Vol.
1%
30°C
$0 Vol.
3%
31°C
$0 Vol.
3%
32°C
$0 Vol.
22%
33°C
$37 Vol.
47%
34°C
$65 Vol.
29%
35°C
$0 Vol.
5%
36°C
$3 Vol.
3%
37°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and Pakistan Meteorological Department models indicate highest temperatures in Karachi on August 4 will likely reach 30–33°C amid the active monsoon, with cloud cover, humidity, and possible showers moderating daytime peaks relative to pre-monsoon extremes. Trader consensus, reflected in the 48.5% implied probability for 33°C, aligns with these guidance ranges and seasonal averages near 32°C, while lower probabilities for 34°C or above account for model spread and potential brief clearing. Historical August baselines and current steering patterns support this positioning, with PMD updates expected in the next 24–48 hours offering the next key data point for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 2, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Volume
$210End Date
Aug 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 2, 2026, 1:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and Pakistan Meteorological Department models indicate highest temperatures in Karachi on August 4 will likely reach 30–33°C amid the active monsoon, with cloud cover, humidity, and possible showers moderating daytime peaks relative to pre-monsoon extremes. Trader consensus, reflected in the 48.5% implied probability for 33°C, aligns with these guidance ranges and seasonal averages near 32°C, while lower probabilities for 34°C or above account for model spread and potential brief clearing. Historical August baselines and current steering patterns support this positioning, with PMD updates expected in the next 24–48 hours offering the next key data point for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$210End Date
Aug 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 2, 2026, 1:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and Pakistan Meteorological Department models indicate highest temperatures in Karachi on August 4 will likely reach 30–33°C amid the active monsoon, with cloud cover, humidity, and possible showers moderating daytime peaks relative to pre-monsoon extremes. Trader consensus, reflected in the 48.5% implied probability for 33°C, aligns with these guidance ranges and seasonal averages near 32°C, while lower probabilities for 34°C or above account for model spread and potential brief clearing. Historical August baselines and current steering patterns support this positioning, with PMD updates expected in the next 24–48 hours offering the next key data point for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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