Active southwest monsoon conditions, including persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity across Uttar Pradesh, form the main driver keeping Lucknow’s maximum temperature tightly clustered around 30–31°C for September 3. Recent heavy rainfall on September 2 further suppressed daytime heating through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling, aligning with India Meteorological Department observations of below-normal maxima in the region. Model consensus points to continued moisture influx and easterly winds limiting peaks, while any brief clearing could allow brief rises toward 32°C. These dynamics create genuine uncertainty between the leading 30°C and 31°C outcomes, with new forecast updates and real-time observations likely to shift trader consensus ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on September 3?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on September 3?
31°C 34%
30°C 29%
32°C 16%
29°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Sep 3, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
11%
30°C
29%
31°C
34%
32°C
16%
33°C or higher
6%
31°C 34%
30°C 29%
32°C 16%
29°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Sep 3, 2026
23°C or below
$200 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$247 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$357 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$157 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$214 Vol.
1%
28°C
$127 Vol.
4%
29°C
$205 Vol.
11%
30°C
$22 Vol.
29%
31°C
$766 Vol.
34%
32°C
$636 Vol.
16%
33°C or higher
$78 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Active southwest monsoon conditions, including persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity across Uttar Pradesh, form the main driver keeping Lucknow’s maximum temperature tightly clustered around 30–31°C for September 3. Recent heavy rainfall on September 2 further suppressed daytime heating through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling, aligning with India Meteorological Department observations of below-normal maxima in the region. Model consensus points to continued moisture influx and easterly winds limiting peaks, while any brief clearing could allow brief rises toward 32°C. These dynamics create genuine uncertainty between the leading 30°C and 31°C outcomes, with new forecast updates and real-time observations likely to shift trader consensus ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$3,009End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Active southwest monsoon conditions, including persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity across Uttar Pradesh, form the main driver keeping Lucknow’s maximum temperature tightly clustered around 30–31°C for September 3. Recent heavy rainfall on September 2 further suppressed daytime heating through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling, aligning with India Meteorological Department observations of below-normal maxima in the region. Model consensus points to continued moisture influx and easterly winds limiting peaks, while any brief clearing could allow brief rises toward 32°C. These dynamics create genuine uncertainty between the leading 30°C and 31°C outcomes, with new forecast updates and real-time observations likely to shift trader consensus ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,009End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Active southwest monsoon conditions, including persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity across Uttar Pradesh, form the main driver keeping Lucknow’s maximum temperature tightly clustered around 30–31°C for September 3. Recent heavy rainfall on September 2 further suppressed daytime heating through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling, aligning with India Meteorological Department observations of below-normal maxima in the region. Model consensus points to continued moisture influx and easterly winds limiting peaks, while any brief clearing could allow brief rises toward 32°C. These dynamics create genuine uncertainty between the leading 30°C and 31°C outcomes, with new forecast updates and real-time observations likely to shift trader consensus ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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