Active monsoon conditions across Uttar Pradesh, with heavy showers and persistent cloud cover through early September, are keeping Lucknow's overnight minimum temperatures near 25–26°C, close to seasonal norms. Recent widespread rainfall has erased the city's monsoon deficit and increased humidity, which limits nighttime radiative cooling and compresses the diurnal temperature range even as daytime highs hover around 30–31°C. Official IMD guidance and ensemble forecasts show continued spells of rain or thundershowers on September 3, reducing the likelihood of clear skies that could produce either sharp drops below 22°C or spikes above 30°C. Trader sentiment remains split because small shifts in rainfall timing or intensity—common in the Bay of Bengal monsoon branch—could still tip the recorded minimum a few degrees in either direction before final observation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Lucknow on September 3?
Lowest temperature in Lucknow on September 3?
31°C or higher 78%
27°C 38%
26°C 31%
25°C 27%
NEW
NEW
Sep 3, 2026
21°C or below
15%
22°C
19%
23°C
18%
24°C
26%
25°C
27%
26°C
31%
27°C
38%
28°C
5%
29°C
3%
30°C
3%
31°C or higher
78%
31°C or higher 78%
27°C 38%
26°C 31%
25°C 27%
NEW
NEW
Sep 3, 2026
21°C or below
$5 Vol.
15%
22°C
$5 Vol.
19%
23°C
$5 Vol.
18%
24°C
$0 Vol.
26%
25°C
$0 Vol.
27%
26°C
$0 Vol.
31%
27°C
$7 Vol.
38%
28°C
$6 Vol.
5%
29°C
$5 Vol.
3%
30°C
$5 Vol.
3%
31°C or higher
$5 Vol.
78%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Active monsoon conditions across Uttar Pradesh, with heavy showers and persistent cloud cover through early September, are keeping Lucknow's overnight minimum temperatures near 25–26°C, close to seasonal norms. Recent widespread rainfall has erased the city's monsoon deficit and increased humidity, which limits nighttime radiative cooling and compresses the diurnal temperature range even as daytime highs hover around 30–31°C. Official IMD guidance and ensemble forecasts show continued spells of rain or thundershowers on September 3, reducing the likelihood of clear skies that could produce either sharp drops below 22°C or spikes above 30°C. Trader sentiment remains split because small shifts in rainfall timing or intensity—common in the Bay of Bengal monsoon branch—could still tip the recorded minimum a few degrees in either direction before final observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$43End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Active monsoon conditions across Uttar Pradesh, with heavy showers and persistent cloud cover through early September, are keeping Lucknow's overnight minimum temperatures near 25–26°C, close to seasonal norms. Recent widespread rainfall has erased the city's monsoon deficit and increased humidity, which limits nighttime radiative cooling and compresses the diurnal temperature range even as daytime highs hover around 30–31°C. Official IMD guidance and ensemble forecasts show continued spells of rain or thundershowers on September 3, reducing the likelihood of clear skies that could produce either sharp drops below 22°C or spikes above 30°C. Trader sentiment remains split because small shifts in rainfall timing or intensity—common in the Bay of Bengal monsoon branch—could still tip the recorded minimum a few degrees in either direction before final observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$43End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Active monsoon conditions across Uttar Pradesh, with heavy showers and persistent cloud cover through early September, are keeping Lucknow's overnight minimum temperatures near 25–26°C, close to seasonal norms. Recent widespread rainfall has erased the city's monsoon deficit and increased humidity, which limits nighttime radiative cooling and compresses the diurnal temperature range even as daytime highs hover around 30–31°C. Official IMD guidance and ensemble forecasts show continued spells of rain or thundershowers on September 3, reducing the likelihood of clear skies that could produce either sharp drops below 22°C or spikes above 30°C. Trader sentiment remains split because small shifts in rainfall timing or intensity—common in the Bay of Bengal monsoon branch—could still tip the recorded minimum a few degrees in either direction before final observation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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