Mexico City's June 12 maximum temperature market shows tight clustering around 23–25°C because climatological averages place typical highs near 24°C at the city's 2,240-meter elevation, while early rainy-season convection and cloud cover often cap afternoon peaks. Current model guidance indicates light showers or increased cloudiness that could suppress insolation and hold the reading at or below 24°C, yet breaks of sun remain possible if steering patterns shift. Official monitoring from agencies such as the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional will resolve the exact peak, with the narrow spread between leading outcomes reflecting genuine uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any convective activity rather than a strong directional signal.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Mexico City on June 12?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on June 12?
23°C 32%
24°C 32%
25°C 27%
26°C or higher 11.6%
NEW
NEW
Jun 12, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
25%
24°C
32%
25°C
27%
26°C or higher
12%
23°C 32%
24°C 32%
25°C 27%
26°C or higher 11.6%
NEW
NEW
Jun 12, 2026
16°C or below
$106 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$106 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$101 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$5 Vol.
1%
20°C
$77 Vol.
1%
21°C
$57 Vol.
2%
22°C
$65 Vol.
4%
23°C
$24 Vol.
25%
24°C
$25 Vol.
32%
25°C
$0 Vol.
27%
26°C or higher
$18 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mexico City's June 12 maximum temperature market shows tight clustering around 23–25°C because climatological averages place typical highs near 24°C at the city's 2,240-meter elevation, while early rainy-season convection and cloud cover often cap afternoon peaks. Current model guidance indicates light showers or increased cloudiness that could suppress insolation and hold the reading at or below 24°C, yet breaks of sun remain possible if steering patterns shift. Official monitoring from agencies such as the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional will resolve the exact peak, with the narrow spread between leading outcomes reflecting genuine uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any convective activity rather than a strong directional signal.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 10, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Volume
$578End Date
Jun 12, 2026Market Opened
Jun 10, 2026, 9:05 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mexico City's June 12 maximum temperature market shows tight clustering around 23–25°C because climatological averages place typical highs near 24°C at the city's 2,240-meter elevation, while early rainy-season convection and cloud cover often cap afternoon peaks. Current model guidance indicates light showers or increased cloudiness that could suppress insolation and hold the reading at or below 24°C, yet breaks of sun remain possible if steering patterns shift. Official monitoring from agencies such as the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional will resolve the exact peak, with the narrow spread between leading outcomes reflecting genuine uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any convective activity rather than a strong directional signal.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$578End Date
Jun 12, 2026Market Opened
Jun 10, 2026, 9:05 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mexico City's June 12 maximum temperature market shows tight clustering around 23–25°C because climatological averages place typical highs near 24°C at the city's 2,240-meter elevation, while early rainy-season convection and cloud cover often cap afternoon peaks. Current model guidance indicates light showers or increased cloudiness that could suppress insolation and hold the reading at or below 24°C, yet breaks of sun remain possible if steering patterns shift. Official monitoring from agencies such as the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional will resolve the exact peak, with the narrow spread between leading outcomes reflecting genuine uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any convective activity rather than a strong directional signal.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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