Recent European weather model consensus from sources like the ECMWF and German Weather Service (DWD) points to a mild mid-June pattern over Bavaria, with daytime highs in Munich most likely reaching 24–26°C on June 13, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. Key differentiating factors include the strength of incoming Atlantic westerlies versus any high-pressure ridge building from the south, which would modulate cloud cover, solar heating, and the timing of any showers or thunderstorms that could cap afternoon maxima. Historical June averages near 22–23°C provide context for this slightly above-normal warmth, while model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds creates the observed uncertainty between 24°C and 26°C scenarios. Updated short-range runs and observational data from the next 24–48 hours will further refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月13日慕尼黑最高溫度？
6月13日慕尼黑最高溫度？
25°C 34%
24°C 26%
26°C 24%
23°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-06-13
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
15%
24°C
26%
25°C
34%
26°C
24%
27°C or higher
3%
25°C 34%
24°C 26%
26°C 24%
23°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-06-13
17°C or below
$183 交易量
<1%
18°C
$183 交易量
<1%
19°C
$183 交易量
<1%
20°C
$183 交易量
<1%
21°C
$97 交易量
1%
22°C
$126 交易量
3%
23°C
$219 交易量
15%
24°C
$272 交易量
26%
25°C
$227 交易量
34%
26°C
$234 交易量
24%
27°C or higher
$118 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European weather model consensus from sources like the ECMWF and German Weather Service (DWD) points to a mild mid-June pattern over Bavaria, with daytime highs in Munich most likely reaching 24–26°C on June 13, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. Key differentiating factors include the strength of incoming Atlantic westerlies versus any high-pressure ridge building from the south, which would modulate cloud cover, solar heating, and the timing of any showers or thunderstorms that could cap afternoon maxima. Historical June averages near 22–23°C provide context for this slightly above-normal warmth, while model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds creates the observed uncertainty between 24°C and 26°C scenarios. Updated short-range runs and observational data from the next 24–48 hours will further refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$1,997結束日期
2026-06-13市場開放時間
Jun 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European weather model consensus from sources like the ECMWF and German Weather Service (DWD) points to a mild mid-June pattern over Bavaria, with daytime highs in Munich most likely reaching 24–26°C on June 13, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. Key differentiating factors include the strength of incoming Atlantic westerlies versus any high-pressure ridge building from the south, which would modulate cloud cover, solar heating, and the timing of any showers or thunderstorms that could cap afternoon maxima. Historical June averages near 22–23°C provide context for this slightly above-normal warmth, while model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds creates the observed uncertainty between 24°C and 26°C scenarios. Updated short-range runs and observational data from the next 24–48 hours will further refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,997結束日期
2026-06-13市場開放時間
Jun 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent European weather model consensus from sources like the ECMWF and German Weather Service (DWD) points to a mild mid-June pattern over Bavaria, with daytime highs in Munich most likely reaching 24–26°C on June 13, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. Key differentiating factors include the strength of incoming Atlantic westerlies versus any high-pressure ridge building from the south, which would modulate cloud cover, solar heating, and the timing of any showers or thunderstorms that could cap afternoon maxima. Historical June averages near 22–23°C provide context for this slightly above-normal warmth, while model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds creates the observed uncertainty between 24°C and 26°C scenarios. Updated short-range runs and observational data from the next 24–48 hours will further refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions