Current ensemble forecasts from major meteorological centers cluster around a Milan high of 33–34°C on June 18, driven by a strengthening subtropical ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies over the Po Valley, combined with peak mid-June solar insolation and regional warming from urban heat-island effects. Model spreads arise mainly from subtle differences in low-level moisture advection and boundary-layer mixing, producing the tight 33°C (32.5%) versus 34°C (37.5%) contest; slight westward shifts in the ridge axis or increased afternoon cloud cover could favor the lower outcome, while stronger downslope warming would push toward 35°C. Resolution hinges on official Italian Meteorological Service observations at Milano Linate or Malpensa stations, with final updates expected in the next 24–48 hours.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Milan on June 18?
34°C 38%
33°C 33%
35°C 16%
32°C 11%
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
11%
33°C
33%
34°C
38%
35°C
16%
36°C
4%
37°C
4%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
34°C 38%
33°C 33%
35°C 16%
32°C 11%
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
11%
33°C
33%
34°C
38%
35°C
16%
36°C
4%
37°C
4%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 16, 2026, 1:08 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from major meteorological centers cluster around a Milan high of 33–34°C on June 18, driven by a strengthening subtropical ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies over the Po Valley, combined with peak mid-June solar insolation and regional warming from urban heat-island effects. Model spreads arise mainly from subtle differences in low-level moisture advection and boundary-layer mixing, producing the tight 33°C (32.5%) versus 34°C (37.5%) contest; slight westward shifts in the ridge axis or increased afternoon cloud cover could favor the lower outcome, while stronger downslope warming would push toward 35°C. Resolution hinges on official Italian Meteorological Service observations at Milano Linate or Malpensa stations, with final updates expected in the next 24–48 hours.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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