Recent forecast model runs for Munich on October 9 show daytime highs clustered between 14–16 °C, driving the near-even market split between 15 °C and 16 °C. A cooler, mostly clear to partly cloudy regime follows Wednesday’s rain-cooled air mass, with moderate westerly winds limiting afternoon mixing and solar heating under autumnal insolation levels. Official guidance from sources aligned with GFS and ECMWF ensembles places the most probable peak near 15 °C, though slight reductions in cloud cover or lighter winds could allow brief excursions to 16 °C. Historical October 9 averages near 15.6 °C provide context, but current synoptic setup favors values at or just below that baseline. Traders will watch the final overnight model updates and early-morning surface observations for any last adjustments before resolution.