Recent forecast guidance from regional models highlights a narrow range of 27–28°C as the most probable daily maximum for Qingdao on June 16, driven by a warm southwesterly flow and reduced sea-breeze moderation under partly cloudy skies. Subtle differences between these outcomes hinge on variables such as afternoon cloud cover, wind speed near the coast, and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift peak readings by 1°C. Trader consensus reflects this tight uncertainty, with lower probabilities assigned to 26°C or 29°C+ scenarios that would require stronger onshore flow or clearer conditions than currently indicated. New model runs and official updates from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Qingdao on June 16?
27°C 35%
28°C 35%
26°C 13%
29°C 11%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
13%
27°C
35%
28°C
35%
29°C
11%
30°C or higher
5%
27°C 35%
28°C 35%
26°C 13%
29°C 11%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
13%
27°C
35%
28°C
35%
29°C
11%
30°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from regional models highlights a narrow range of 27–28°C as the most probable daily maximum for Qingdao on June 16, driven by a warm southwesterly flow and reduced sea-breeze moderation under partly cloudy skies. Subtle differences between these outcomes hinge on variables such as afternoon cloud cover, wind speed near the coast, and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift peak readings by 1°C. Trader consensus reflects this tight uncertainty, with lower probabilities assigned to 26°C or 29°C+ scenarios that would require stronger onshore flow or clearer conditions than currently indicated. New model runs and official updates from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย