Recent National Environment Agency guidance for early August 2026 highlights drier-than-average conditions and daily maximum temperatures of 33–34 °C on most days, driven by reduced cloud cover and occasional windy periods that limit afternoon convective cooling. Current deterministic and ensemble guidance from regional models aligns with this outlook, projecting a peak near 32–33 °C on 4 August amid typical tropical humidity (70–90 %) and scattered thundery showers that may briefly suppress the high. Market-implied odds heavily favor these two outcomes because they match the consensus range while acknowledging residual uncertainty from exact shower timing and localized wind shifts; historical August maxima average 31 °C, but the drier signal supports the modest upward shift reflected in trader positioning. Updated short-range model runs and the next NEA advisory will provide the key data points for any further adjustment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Singapore on August 4?
Highest temperature in Singapore on August 4?
32°C 50%
33°C 39%
31°C 9%
34°C 4%
NEW
NEW
Aug 4, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
9%
32°C
50%
33°C
39%
34°C
4%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 50%
33°C 39%
31°C 9%
34°C 4%
NEW
NEW
Aug 4, 2026
27°C or below
$109 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$110 Vol.
1%
29°C
$96 Vol.
2%
30°C
$54 Vol.
2%
31°C
$56 Vol.
9%
32°C
$222 Vol.
50%
33°C
$209 Vol.
39%
34°C
$57 Vol.
4%
35°C
$72 Vol.
1%
36°C
$94 Vol.
1%
37°C or higher
$182 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Environment Agency guidance for early August 2026 highlights drier-than-average conditions and daily maximum temperatures of 33–34 °C on most days, driven by reduced cloud cover and occasional windy periods that limit afternoon convective cooling. Current deterministic and ensemble guidance from regional models aligns with this outlook, projecting a peak near 32–33 °C on 4 August amid typical tropical humidity (70–90 %) and scattered thundery showers that may briefly suppress the high. Market-implied odds heavily favor these two outcomes because they match the consensus range while acknowledging residual uncertainty from exact shower timing and localized wind shifts; historical August maxima average 31 °C, but the drier signal supports the modest upward shift reflected in trader positioning. Updated short-range model runs and the next NEA advisory will provide the key data points for any further adjustment.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$1,260End Date
Aug 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Environment Agency guidance for early August 2026 highlights drier-than-average conditions and daily maximum temperatures of 33–34 °C on most days, driven by reduced cloud cover and occasional windy periods that limit afternoon convective cooling. Current deterministic and ensemble guidance from regional models aligns with this outlook, projecting a peak near 32–33 °C on 4 August amid typical tropical humidity (70–90 %) and scattered thundery showers that may briefly suppress the high. Market-implied odds heavily favor these two outcomes because they match the consensus range while acknowledging residual uncertainty from exact shower timing and localized wind shifts; historical August maxima average 31 °C, but the drier signal supports the modest upward shift reflected in trader positioning. Updated short-range model runs and the next NEA advisory will provide the key data points for any further adjustment.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,260End Date
Aug 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Environment Agency guidance for early August 2026 highlights drier-than-average conditions and daily maximum temperatures of 33–34 °C on most days, driven by reduced cloud cover and occasional windy periods that limit afternoon convective cooling. Current deterministic and ensemble guidance from regional models aligns with this outlook, projecting a peak near 32–33 °C on 4 August amid typical tropical humidity (70–90 %) and scattered thundery showers that may briefly suppress the high. Market-implied odds heavily favor these two outcomes because they match the consensus range while acknowledging residual uncertainty from exact shower timing and localized wind shifts; historical August maxima average 31 °C, but the drier signal supports the modest upward shift reflected in trader positioning. Updated short-range model runs and the next NEA advisory will provide the key data points for any further adjustment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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