Singapore’s peak temperature on July 12 will be shaped primarily by southwest monsoon flow, which favors localized afternoon thundery showers and variable cloud cover that can cap or allow radiative heating. Official NEA guidance for the first fortnight of July 2026 projects daily maxima of 33–34 °C on most days, with brief excursions above 34 °C under reduced cloud, while a developing positive Indian Ocean Dipole and possible El Niño signal support warmer, drier conditions overall. Market-implied odds clustered around 31–32 °C reflect uncertainty over the exact timing and intensity of convective cooling versus clearer intervals that could push readings one degree higher. Afternoon wind shifts and humidity levels further modulate the outcome, with even modest changes in cloud fraction able to shift the daily maximum across the tightly bunched resolution brackets.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Singapore on July 12?
Highest temperature in Singapore on July 12?
32°C 41%
31°C 31%
33°C 14%
30°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Jul 12, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
12%
31°C
31%
32°C
41%
33°C
14%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 41%
31°C 31%
33°C 14%
30°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Jul 12, 2026
26°C or below
$386 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$6 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$294 Vol.
1%
29°C
$66 Vol.
4%
30°C
$304 Vol.
12%
31°C
$320 Vol.
31%
32°C
$760 Vol.
41%
33°C
$256 Vol.
14%
34°C
$433 Vol.
3%
35°C
$223 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Singapore’s peak temperature on July 12 will be shaped primarily by southwest monsoon flow, which favors localized afternoon thundery showers and variable cloud cover that can cap or allow radiative heating. Official NEA guidance for the first fortnight of July 2026 projects daily maxima of 33–34 °C on most days, with brief excursions above 34 °C under reduced cloud, while a developing positive Indian Ocean Dipole and possible El Niño signal support warmer, drier conditions overall. Market-implied odds clustered around 31–32 °C reflect uncertainty over the exact timing and intensity of convective cooling versus clearer intervals that could push readings one degree higher. Afternoon wind shifts and humidity levels further modulate the outcome, with even modest changes in cloud fraction able to shift the daily maximum across the tightly bunched resolution brackets.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$3,048End Date
Jul 12, 2026Market Opened
Jul 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Singapore’s peak temperature on July 12 will be shaped primarily by southwest monsoon flow, which favors localized afternoon thundery showers and variable cloud cover that can cap or allow radiative heating. Official NEA guidance for the first fortnight of July 2026 projects daily maxima of 33–34 °C on most days, with brief excursions above 34 °C under reduced cloud, while a developing positive Indian Ocean Dipole and possible El Niño signal support warmer, drier conditions overall. Market-implied odds clustered around 31–32 °C reflect uncertainty over the exact timing and intensity of convective cooling versus clearer intervals that could push readings one degree higher. Afternoon wind shifts and humidity levels further modulate the outcome, with even modest changes in cloud fraction able to shift the daily maximum across the tightly bunched resolution brackets.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,048End Date
Jul 12, 2026Market Opened
Jul 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Singapore’s peak temperature on July 12 will be shaped primarily by southwest monsoon flow, which favors localized afternoon thundery showers and variable cloud cover that can cap or allow radiative heating. Official NEA guidance for the first fortnight of July 2026 projects daily maxima of 33–34 °C on most days, with brief excursions above 34 °C under reduced cloud, while a developing positive Indian Ocean Dipole and possible El Niño signal support warmer, drier conditions overall. Market-implied odds clustered around 31–32 °C reflect uncertainty over the exact timing and intensity of convective cooling versus clearer intervals that could push readings one degree higher. Afternoon wind shifts and humidity levels further modulate the outcome, with even modest changes in cloud fraction able to shift the daily maximum across the tightly bunched resolution brackets.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions